**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and major meteorological services center Chicago’s August 30 high in the upper 80s (primarily 87–88 °F), consistent with the market’s tight clustering around the 84–87 °F bins.** A building southerly flow is advecting warmer, more humid air northward ahead of a strengthening warm-air mass, while breezy southwest winds (10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph) promote mixing and daytime heating. Partly to mostly cloudy skies will temper full solar insolation compared with clear conditions, keeping the peak from climbing much above the mid-to-upper 80s. Saturday’s thicker cloud cover held highs near 80–81 °F; the shift to partly sunny skies on Sunday allows the temperature to rebound several degrees. No strong cold front or widespread convection is expected to disrupt the warming trend before the daily maximum is reached. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 81 °F, so current conditions represent a notable warm anomaly. Minor forecast differences in cloud timing, exact wind speeds, or any brief showers produce the narrow probability spread across the 82–89 °F range, with lower odds on the extremes reflecting limited support for either a strong cool-down or rapid intensification to the low 90s.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 30. August?
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 25%
82-83°F 18%
88-89°F 16%
77°F oder niedriger
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
1%
96°F oder höher
<1%
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 25%
82-83°F 18%
88-89°F 16%
77°F oder niedriger
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
1%
96°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and major meteorological services center Chicago’s August 30 high in the upper 80s (primarily 87–88 °F), consistent with the market’s tight clustering around the 84–87 °F bins.** A building southerly flow is advecting warmer, more humid air northward ahead of a strengthening warm-air mass, while breezy southwest winds (10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph) promote mixing and daytime heating. Partly to mostly cloudy skies will temper full solar insolation compared with clear conditions, keeping the peak from climbing much above the mid-to-upper 80s. Saturday’s thicker cloud cover held highs near 80–81 °F; the shift to partly sunny skies on Sunday allows the temperature to rebound several degrees. No strong cold front or widespread convection is expected to disrupt the warming trend before the daily maximum is reached. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 81 °F, so current conditions represent a notable warm anomaly. Minor forecast differences in cloud timing, exact wind speeds, or any brief showers produce the narrow probability spread across the 82–89 °F range, with lower odds on the extremes reflecting limited support for either a strong cool-down or rapid intensification to the low 90s.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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