Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs currently anchor trader consensus around a 24°C high for Toronto on August 28, with sunny skies and light northerly flow limiting afternoon warming after recent showers. Slight divergences among global models—some capping peaks near 23°C due to persistent cloud or stronger lake breezes, others allowing brief 25°C readings under clearer conditions—keep the 23°C and 25°C outcomes closely competitive at 31% and 15.5% implied probability. This narrow distribution reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty typical one day before resolution, with traders weighing the latest regional guidance against climatological norms near 25°C for late August. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will likely sharpen the outcome before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 28. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 28. August?
24°C 36%
23°C 31%
25°C 15%
22°C 12%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
12%
23°C
31%
24°C
36%
25°C
15%
26°C
6%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 36%
23°C 31%
25°C 15%
22°C 12%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
$46 Vol.
2%
21°C
$46 Vol.
3%
22°C
$311 Vol.
12%
23°C
$76 Vol.
31%
24°C
$95 Vol.
36%
25°C
$33 Vol.
15%
26°C
$13 Vol.
6%
27°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$289 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs currently anchor trader consensus around a 24°C high for Toronto on August 28, with sunny skies and light northerly flow limiting afternoon warming after recent showers. Slight divergences among global models—some capping peaks near 23°C due to persistent cloud or stronger lake breezes, others allowing brief 25°C readings under clearer conditions—keep the 23°C and 25°C outcomes closely competitive at 31% and 15.5% implied probability. This narrow distribution reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty typical one day before resolution, with traders weighing the latest regional guidance against climatological norms near 25°C for late August. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will likely sharpen the outcome before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$1,237Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs currently anchor trader consensus around a 24°C high for Toronto on August 28, with sunny skies and light northerly flow limiting afternoon warming after recent showers. Slight divergences among global models—some capping peaks near 23°C due to persistent cloud or stronger lake breezes, others allowing brief 25°C readings under clearer conditions—keep the 23°C and 25°C outcomes closely competitive at 31% and 15.5% implied probability. This narrow distribution reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty typical one day before resolution, with traders weighing the latest regional guidance against climatological norms near 25°C for late August. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will likely sharpen the outcome before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,237Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs currently anchor trader consensus around a 24°C high for Toronto on August 28, with sunny skies and light northerly flow limiting afternoon warming after recent showers. Slight divergences among global models—some capping peaks near 23°C due to persistent cloud or stronger lake breezes, others allowing brief 25°C readings under clearer conditions—keep the 23°C and 25°C outcomes closely competitive at 31% and 15.5% implied probability. This narrow distribution reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty typical one day before resolution, with traders weighing the latest regional guidance against climatological norms near 25°C for late August. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will likely sharpen the outcome before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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