Recent model consensus from Environment Canada, European, and U.S. forecasts indicates clear skies and light northwest winds overnight into August 28 will promote radiative cooling, supporting a minimum temperature near 14–15 °C at Toronto Pearson and downtown stations. This follows a cooler air mass arrival after mid-week showers, with dew points falling into the low teens and minimal cloud cover expected after midnight. Slight model spread on wind speeds and residual moisture creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C, as traders weigh the potential for marginally stronger cooling versus any late-evening cloud or urban heat-island effects that could hold the low a degree higher. Updated guidance expected from the National Weather Service and Environment Canada overnight will likely refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Toronto am 28. August?
10°C oder darunter 48%
20°C oder höher 47%
15°C 31%
14°C 28%
10°C oder darunter
48%
11°C
26%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
28%
15°C
31%
16°C
27%
17°C
2%
18°C
25%
19°C
8%
20°C oder höher
47%
10°C oder darunter 48%
20°C oder höher 47%
15°C 31%
14°C 28%
10°C oder darunter
48%
11°C
26%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
28%
15°C
31%
16°C
27%
17°C
2%
18°C
25%
19°C
8%
20°C oder höher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Environment Canada, European, and U.S. forecasts indicates clear skies and light northwest winds overnight into August 28 will promote radiative cooling, supporting a minimum temperature near 14–15 °C at Toronto Pearson and downtown stations. This follows a cooler air mass arrival after mid-week showers, with dew points falling into the low teens and minimal cloud cover expected after midnight. Slight model spread on wind speeds and residual moisture creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C, as traders weigh the potential for marginally stronger cooling versus any late-evening cloud or urban heat-island effects that could hold the low a degree higher. Updated guidance expected from the National Weather Service and Environment Canada overnight will likely refine these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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