Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model consensus project a high of 26 °C for Toronto on August 27, driven by southwesterly flow ahead of a weak frontal system, with afternoon mixing under partly cloudy skies and a 40 % chance of showers that could cap peak heating. Recent GFS and regional runs show afternoon readings clustering between 24–26 °C, with modest spread arising from the precise timing and coverage of any convective cells and the strength of onshore lake-breeze moderation. This places the market-implied probabilities for 25 °C and 26 °C nearly even, as traders weigh the narrow window between full insolation and brief cloud or shower suppression against late-August climatological norms near 25 °C. Updated model guidance and official afternoon observations will determine the final maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 27. August?
26°C 35%
25°C 34%
27°C 21%
23°C 9%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
8%
25°C
34%
26°C
35%
27°C
21%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
3%
26°C 35%
25°C 34%
27°C 21%
23°C 9%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
8%
25°C
34%
26°C
35%
27°C
21%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model consensus project a high of 26 °C for Toronto on August 27, driven by southwesterly flow ahead of a weak frontal system, with afternoon mixing under partly cloudy skies and a 40 % chance of showers that could cap peak heating. Recent GFS and regional runs show afternoon readings clustering between 24–26 °C, with modest spread arising from the precise timing and coverage of any convective cells and the strength of onshore lake-breeze moderation. This places the market-implied probabilities for 25 °C and 26 °C nearly even, as traders weigh the narrow window between full insolation and brief cloud or shower suppression against late-August climatological norms near 25 °C. Updated model guidance and official afternoon observations will determine the final maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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