**A hot, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is the main driver pushing Sao Paulo temperatures toward the low-to-mid 30s°C on August 30, with official and model guidance showing a narrow range that explains the tight market clustering around 31–33°C.** INMET and regional services (IPMet, Climatempo) highlight stable conditions under this mass, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light northwest-to-southeast winds, and negligible rain risk keeping maximum readings elevated but variable. Latest model outputs and station guidance differ by 1–3°C depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing implied probabilities that spread across 30–34°C rather than clustering on a single value. Historical August averages near 22°C underscore the anomaly, while the lack of frontal passage or moisture advection limits upside beyond 34–35°C in most runs. Updated midday model guidance and official INMET bulletins on the 30th will be the key near-term catalysts for any further market movement before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 30. August?
32°C 25%
31°C 25%
30°C 16%
33°C 14%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
28°C oder darunter
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
25%
32°C
25%
33°C
14%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 25%
31°C 25%
30°C 16%
33°C 14%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
28°C oder darunter
$774 Vol.
4%
29°C
$647 Vol.
6%
30°C
$953 Vol.
16%
31°C
$377 Vol.
25%
32°C
$2,494 Vol.
25%
33°C
$1,224 Vol.
14%
34°C
$907 Vol.
8%
35°C
$114 Vol.
3%
36°C
$84 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$847 Vol.
<1%
38°C oder höher
$1,172 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A hot, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is the main driver pushing Sao Paulo temperatures toward the low-to-mid 30s°C on August 30, with official and model guidance showing a narrow range that explains the tight market clustering around 31–33°C.**
INMET and regional services (IPMet, Climatempo) highlight stable conditions under this mass, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light northwest-to-southeast winds, and negligible rain risk keeping maximum readings elevated but variable. Latest model outputs and station guidance differ by 1–3°C depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing implied probabilities that spread across 30–34°C rather than clustering on a single value. Historical August averages near 22°C underscore the anomaly, while the lack of frontal passage or moisture advection limits upside beyond 34–35°C in most runs. Updated midday model guidance and official INMET bulletins on the 30th will be the key near-term catalysts for any further market movement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Volumen
$9,595Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A hot, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is the main driver pushing Sao Paulo temperatures toward the low-to-mid 30s°C on August 30, with official and model guidance showing a narrow range that explains the tight market clustering around 31–33°C.**
INMET and regional services (IPMet, Climatempo) highlight stable conditions under this mass, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light northwest-to-southeast winds, and negligible rain risk keeping maximum readings elevated but variable. Latest model outputs and station guidance differ by 1–3°C depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing implied probabilities that spread across 30–34°C rather than clustering on a single value. Historical August averages near 22°C underscore the anomaly, while the lack of frontal passage or moisture advection limits upside beyond 34–35°C in most runs. Updated midday model guidance and official INMET bulletins on the 30th will be the key near-term catalysts for any further market movement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,595Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**A hot, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is the main driver pushing Sao Paulo temperatures toward the low-to-mid 30s°C on August 30, with official and model guidance showing a narrow range that explains the tight market clustering around 31–33°C.** INMET and regional services (IPMet, Climatempo) highlight stable conditions under this mass, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light northwest-to-southeast winds, and negligible rain risk keeping maximum readings elevated but variable. Latest model outputs and station guidance differ by 1–3°C depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing implied probabilities that spread across 30–34°C rather than clustering on a single value. Historical August averages near 22°C underscore the anomaly, while the lack of frontal passage or moisture advection limits upside beyond 34–35°C in most runs. Updated midday model guidance and official INMET bulletins on the 30th will be the key near-term catalysts for any further market movement before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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