Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services project overnight lows of 12–14°C in Mexico City on August 31, aligning closely with the long-term August average of roughly 12–13°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season moderate radiative cooling, limiting sharp drops while keeping conditions near seasonal norms. Model consensus shows little divergence on steering patterns or intensification of any systems that would push temperatures notably lower. Market-implied odds place the greatest weight on outcomes near or below 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of these typical late-summer conditions and the limited time remaining before resolution, with uncertainty tied to possible revisions in the final forecast runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 31. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 31. August?
7°C oder weniger 97%
8°C 49%
9°C 49%
10°C 49%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
7°C oder weniger
97%
8°C
49%
9°C
49%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
25%
16°C
49%
17°C oder höher
47%
7°C oder weniger 97%
8°C 49%
9°C 49%
10°C 49%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
7°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
97%
8°C
$0 Vol.
49%
9°C
$0 Vol.
49%
10°C
$0 Vol.
49%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services project overnight lows of 12–14°C in Mexico City on August 31, aligning closely with the long-term August average of roughly 12–13°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season moderate radiative cooling, limiting sharp drops while keeping conditions near seasonal norms. Model consensus shows little divergence on steering patterns or intensification of any systems that would push temperatures notably lower. Market-implied odds place the greatest weight on outcomes near or below 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of these typical late-summer conditions and the limited time remaining before resolution, with uncertainty tied to possible revisions in the final forecast runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services project overnight lows of 12–14°C in Mexico City on August 31, aligning closely with the long-term August average of roughly 12–13°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season moderate radiative cooling, limiting sharp drops while keeping conditions near seasonal norms. Model consensus shows little divergence on steering patterns or intensification of any systems that would push temperatures notably lower. Market-implied odds place the greatest weight on outcomes near or below 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of these typical late-summer conditions and the limited time remaining before resolution, with uncertainty tied to possible revisions in the final forecast runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services project overnight lows of 12–14°C in Mexico City on August 31, aligning closely with the long-term August average of roughly 12–13°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season moderate radiative cooling, limiting sharp drops while keeping conditions near seasonal norms. Model consensus shows little divergence on steering patterns or intensification of any systems that would push temperatures notably lower. Market-implied odds place the greatest weight on outcomes near or below 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of these typical late-summer conditions and the limited time remaining before resolution, with uncertainty tied to possible revisions in the final forecast runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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