Current forecast models indicate Mexico City overnight lows near 12–14 °C on August 29 under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds typical of the late wet season at 2,240 m elevation. Radiational cooling under clearer patches could push select higher-elevation districts (e.g., Cuajimalpa) toward single digits, while widespread cloudiness and rainfall moderate temperatures by trapping heat and limiting surface heat loss. Recent model runs show modest spread around these values, consistent with the market’s near-even split between sub-10 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes; traders appear to weigh the narrow window for either enhanced cooling or suppressed minima ahead of final observations. Historical late-August climatology centers on 13–14 °C lows, providing a baseline against which any deviation will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 29. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 29. August?
9°C oder weniger 84%
19°C oder höher 82%
18°C 49%
14°C 27%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
9°C oder weniger
84%
10°C
25%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
49%
19°C oder höher
82%
9°C oder weniger 84%
19°C oder höher 82%
18°C 49%
14°C 27%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
9°C oder weniger
$5 Vol.
84%
10°C
$0 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$5 Vol.
49%
19°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate Mexico City overnight lows near 12–14 °C on August 29 under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds typical of the late wet season at 2,240 m elevation. Radiational cooling under clearer patches could push select higher-elevation districts (e.g., Cuajimalpa) toward single digits, while widespread cloudiness and rainfall moderate temperatures by trapping heat and limiting surface heat loss. Recent model runs show modest spread around these values, consistent with the market’s near-even split between sub-10 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes; traders appear to weigh the narrow window for either enhanced cooling or suppressed minima ahead of final observations. Historical late-August climatology centers on 13–14 °C lows, providing a baseline against which any deviation will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$20Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate Mexico City overnight lows near 12–14 °C on August 29 under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds typical of the late wet season at 2,240 m elevation. Radiational cooling under clearer patches could push select higher-elevation districts (e.g., Cuajimalpa) toward single digits, while widespread cloudiness and rainfall moderate temperatures by trapping heat and limiting surface heat loss. Recent model runs show modest spread around these values, consistent with the market’s near-even split between sub-10 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes; traders appear to weigh the narrow window for either enhanced cooling or suppressed minima ahead of final observations. Historical late-August climatology centers on 13–14 °C lows, providing a baseline against which any deviation will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate Mexico City overnight lows near 12–14 °C on August 29 under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds typical of the late wet season at 2,240 m elevation. Radiational cooling under clearer patches could push select higher-elevation districts (e.g., Cuajimalpa) toward single digits, while widespread cloudiness and rainfall moderate temperatures by trapping heat and limiting surface heat loss. Recent model runs show modest spread around these values, consistent with the market’s near-even split between sub-10 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes; traders appear to weigh the narrow window for either enhanced cooling or suppressed minima ahead of final observations. Historical late-August climatology centers on 13–14 °C lows, providing a baseline against which any deviation will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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