Forecast models for Mexico City on August 28 show overnight lows clustered near 13–14°C, creating tight market-implied odds around those thresholds amid 46–47.5% probabilities for 11–15°C outcomes. High elevation near 2,240 m promotes rapid nocturnal radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, yet frequent convective rainfall and associated cloud cover during the peak rainy season limit temperature drops by trapping heat and moisture. Recent observations indicate similar 12–13°C minima on preceding days, with light winds and high humidity further moderating extremes. Official station data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum, where small differences in storm timing or urban heat island effects can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 28. August?
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
11°C 25%
$398 Vol.
$398 Vol.
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
25%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
11°C 25%
$398 Vol.
$398 Vol.
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
25%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Mexico City on August 28 show overnight lows clustered near 13–14°C, creating tight market-implied odds around those thresholds amid 46–47.5% probabilities for 11–15°C outcomes. High elevation near 2,240 m promotes rapid nocturnal radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, yet frequent convective rainfall and associated cloud cover during the peak rainy season limit temperature drops by trapping heat and moisture. Recent observations indicate similar 12–13°C minima on preceding days, with light winds and high humidity further moderating extremes. Official station data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum, where small differences in storm timing or urban heat island effects can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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