**Forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by the Met Office and WeatherBug points to a daytime high near 25°C in Mexico City on August 28, aligning with the market's leading 61.5% implied probability for that outcome.** August's rainy season typically brings frequent afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover that suppress peak temperatures below seasonal averages of 23–24°C, while the city's high elevation around 2,240 meters further moderates extremes. Recent observations show overcast skies, light winds, and 50–85% rain chances, keeping conditions consistent with 24–26°C ranges that hold the next-highest probabilities. Updated model runs through the day will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 28. August?
25°C 63%
24°C 24%
26°C 13%
23°C 2%
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
24%
25°C
63%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 63%
24°C 24%
26°C 13%
23°C 2%
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
24%
25°C
63%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by the Met Office and WeatherBug points to a daytime high near 25°C in Mexico City on August 28, aligning with the market's leading 61.5% implied probability for that outcome.** August's rainy season typically brings frequent afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover that suppress peak temperatures below seasonal averages of 23–24°C, while the city's high elevation around 2,240 meters further moderates extremes. Recent observations show overcast skies, light winds, and 50–85% rain chances, keeping conditions consistent with 24–26°C ranges that hold the next-highest probabilities. Updated model runs through the day will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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