Recent forecasts for São Paulo on August 28 converge on a maximum of 31–33°C under mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and low humidity that favor strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with trader emphasis on 32°C (35.5% implied probability) as the mode, followed by 31°C and 33°C, reflecting stable model consensus rather than typical late-August averages near 22–24°C. Persistent high pressure and warm advection from the north have driven the recent warming trend, with no significant model shifts in the past 24 hours to alter the outlook. Resolution hinges on official observations reaching or exceeding these thresholds before evening cooling begins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 28. August?
32°C 35%
31°C 22%
33°C 19%
30°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
22%
32°C
35%
33°C
19%
34°C or higher
7%
32°C 35%
31°C 22%
33°C 19%
30°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
22%
32°C
35%
33°C
19%
34°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for São Paulo on August 28 converge on a maximum of 31–33°C under mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and low humidity that favor strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with trader emphasis on 32°C (35.5% implied probability) as the mode, followed by 31°C and 33°C, reflecting stable model consensus rather than typical late-August averages near 22–24°C. Persistent high pressure and warm advection from the north have driven the recent warming trend, with no significant model shifts in the past 24 hours to alter the outlook. Resolution hinges on official observations reaching or exceeding these thresholds before evening cooling begins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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