Official forecasts from São Paulo’s CGE and regional meteorological services, including IPMet, show the overnight minimum stabilizing near 16°C under clear skies and a warm, dry air mass with low humidity and light winds that limit radiational cooling. Early morning station readings averaged around 15–17°C across central and airport locations, aligning with late-August climatology where typical lows range 12–18°C. Numerical model guidance reinforces this narrow range with minimal spread, underpinning the 99% market-implied probability for 16°C. An unexpected surge in winds or clearer conditions promoting stronger cooling could push readings to 15°C or below, though current observations and model consensus make such shifts unlikely before resolution based on the official station record.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 28. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 28. August?
16°C 99%
14°C 2%
15°C 2%
13°C 1.2%
$2,097 Vol.
$2,097 Vol.
28. Aug. 2026
10°C oder weniger
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
99%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 99%
14°C 2%
15°C 2%
13°C 1.2%
$2,097 Vol.
$2,097 Vol.
28. Aug. 2026
10°C oder weniger
$55 Vol.
1%
11°C
$82 Vol.
1%
12°C
$257 Vol.
1%
13°C
$667 Vol.
1%
14°C
$64 Vol.
2%
15°C
$38 Vol.
2%
16°C
$414 Vol.
99%
17°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$69 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$94 Vol.
<1%
20°C oder höher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from São Paulo’s CGE and regional meteorological services, including IPMet, show the overnight minimum stabilizing near 16°C under clear skies and a warm, dry air mass with low humidity and light winds that limit radiational cooling. Early morning station readings averaged around 15–17°C across central and airport locations, aligning with late-August climatology where typical lows range 12–18°C. Numerical model guidance reinforces this narrow range with minimal spread, underpinning the 99% market-implied probability for 16°C. An unexpected surge in winds or clearer conditions promoting stronger cooling could push readings to 15°C or below, though current observations and model consensus make such shifts unlikely before resolution based on the official station record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$2,097Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from São Paulo’s CGE and regional meteorological services, including IPMet, show the overnight minimum stabilizing near 16°C under clear skies and a warm, dry air mass with low humidity and light winds that limit radiational cooling. Early morning station readings averaged around 15–17°C across central and airport locations, aligning with late-August climatology where typical lows range 12–18°C. Numerical model guidance reinforces this narrow range with minimal spread, underpinning the 99% market-implied probability for 16°C. An unexpected surge in winds or clearer conditions promoting stronger cooling could push readings to 15°C or below, though current observations and model consensus make such shifts unlikely before resolution based on the official station record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,097Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from São Paulo’s CGE and regional meteorological services, including IPMet, show the overnight minimum stabilizing near 16°C under clear skies and a warm, dry air mass with low humidity and light winds that limit radiational cooling. Early morning station readings averaged around 15–17°C across central and airport locations, aligning with late-August climatology where typical lows range 12–18°C. Numerical model guidance reinforces this narrow range with minimal spread, underpinning the 99% market-implied probability for 16°C. An unexpected surge in winds or clearer conditions promoting stronger cooling could push readings to 15°C or below, though current observations and model consensus make such shifts unlikely before resolution based on the official station record.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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