Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a low near 56°F for San Francisco on August 29, driven by the deepening marine layer and onshore flow behind an approaching Pacific trough. This pattern favors stratus and fog development overnight, limiting radiative cooling while suppressing daytime highs into the mid-60s. Historical August climatology places the average low at 56.0°F, providing a stable baseline that aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 56-57°F bin. Recent forecasts show little model spread, though minor variations in marine-layer depth or wind strength could shift the minimum by 1–2°F. Updated NHC and local short-range guidance expected through the evening will refine the final overnight minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 29. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 29. August?
56-57°F 47%
50-51°F 43%
49°F oder darunter 37%
58-59°F 27%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
49°F oder darunter
37%
50-51°F
43%
52-53°F
22%
54-55°F
23%
56-57°F
47%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
23%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
12%
68°F oder höher
1%
56-57°F 47%
50-51°F 43%
49°F oder darunter 37%
58-59°F 27%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
49°F oder darunter
$5 Vol.
37%
50-51°F
$5 Vol.
43%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
22%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
23%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
47%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
27%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
23%
62-63°F
$5 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$135 Vol.
12%
68°F oder höher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a low near 56°F for San Francisco on August 29, driven by the deepening marine layer and onshore flow behind an approaching Pacific trough. This pattern favors stratus and fog development overnight, limiting radiative cooling while suppressing daytime highs into the mid-60s. Historical August climatology places the average low at 56.0°F, providing a stable baseline that aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 56-57°F bin. Recent forecasts show little model spread, though minor variations in marine-layer depth or wind strength could shift the minimum by 1–2°F. Updated NHC and local short-range guidance expected through the evening will refine the final overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$160Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a low near 56°F for San Francisco on August 29, driven by the deepening marine layer and onshore flow behind an approaching Pacific trough. This pattern favors stratus and fog development overnight, limiting radiative cooling while suppressing daytime highs into the mid-60s. Historical August climatology places the average low at 56.0°F, providing a stable baseline that aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 56-57°F bin. Recent forecasts show little model spread, though minor variations in marine-layer depth or wind strength could shift the minimum by 1–2°F. Updated NHC and local short-range guidance expected through the evening will refine the final overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$160Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a low near 56°F for San Francisco on August 29, driven by the deepening marine layer and onshore flow behind an approaching Pacific trough. This pattern favors stratus and fog development overnight, limiting radiative cooling while suppressing daytime highs into the mid-60s. Historical August climatology places the average low at 56.0°F, providing a stable baseline that aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 56-57°F bin. Recent forecasts show little model spread, though minor variations in marine-layer depth or wind strength could shift the minimum by 1–2°F. Updated NHC and local short-range guidance expected through the evening will refine the final overnight minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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