**Forecast models for Buenos Aires on September 2, 2026, point to a minimum temperature near the long-term September average of 9°C, with most runs showing early-morning lows between 9–13°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds.** Current conditions on September 1 feature mild overnight readings around 11–12°C, setting the stage for modest diurnal cooling before any frontal passage. Multiple sources, including national meteorological guidance and global models, indicate limited intensification of cold air advection in the immediate 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution centered near climatology while allowing for modest downside risk if winds shift or cloud cover increases radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for exactly 9°C captures this baseline expectation, with secondary liquidity on 7°C-or-below and nearby integers acknowledging model spread and typical early-spring variability. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 2. September?
14°C 99%
17°C oder höher 86%
15°C 83%
16°C 82%
7°C oder weniger
44%
8°C
43%
9°C
54%
10°C
50%
11°C
51%
12°C
5%
13°C
50%
14°C
99%
15°C
83%
16°C
82%
17°C oder höher
86%
14°C 99%
17°C oder höher 86%
15°C 83%
16°C 82%
7°C oder weniger
44%
8°C
43%
9°C
54%
10°C
50%
11°C
51%
12°C
5%
13°C
50%
14°C
99%
15°C
83%
16°C
82%
17°C oder höher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Buenos Aires on September 2, 2026, point to a minimum temperature near the long-term September average of 9°C, with most runs showing early-morning lows between 9–13°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds.** Current conditions on September 1 feature mild overnight readings around 11–12°C, setting the stage for modest diurnal cooling before any frontal passage. Multiple sources, including national meteorological guidance and global models, indicate limited intensification of cold air advection in the immediate 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution centered near climatology while allowing for modest downside risk if winds shift or cloud cover increases radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for exactly 9°C captures this baseline expectation, with secondary liquidity on 7°C-or-below and nearby integers acknowledging model spread and typical early-spring variability. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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