Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity in Panama City, Panama, on September 3, positioning market-implied odds for a 32°C high at 42.5% as the leading outcome. Cloud cover and afternoon convection in the wet season typically cap daytime maxima near 30–32°C by reducing solar heating, consistent with current model guidance showing highs around 30°C amid 70–90% rain chances. Trader consensus reflects this consensus across ensemble runs, with 31°C and 33°C+ outcomes holding secondary probabilities amid typical variability in steering patterns and moisture. Updated model outputs closer to the date will refine these atmospheric conditions and resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 3. September?
32°C 42%
31°C 27%
33°C oder höher 25%
30°C 8%
23°C oder weniger
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
27%
32°C
42%
33°C oder höher
25%
32°C 42%
31°C 27%
33°C oder höher 25%
30°C 8%
23°C oder weniger
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
27%
32°C
42%
33°C oder höher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity in Panama City, Panama, on September 3, positioning market-implied odds for a 32°C high at 42.5% as the leading outcome. Cloud cover and afternoon convection in the wet season typically cap daytime maxima near 30–32°C by reducing solar heating, consistent with current model guidance showing highs around 30°C amid 70–90% rain chances. Trader consensus reflects this consensus across ensemble runs, with 31°C and 33°C+ outcomes holding secondary probabilities amid typical variability in steering patterns and moisture. Updated model outputs closer to the date will refine these atmospheric conditions and resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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