**Trader consensus centers on 28–30°C as the likely daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 2, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory forecast range of 26–30°C (or up to 31°C) amid northeast monsoon flow and the nearby influence of tropical cyclone Sadul.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 4–6 on the Beaufort scale limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting mixing of cooler maritime air. Afternoon breaks in cloud could allow brief insolation spikes that differentiate a 28°C versus 30°C outcome, consistent with September climatology where typical maxima hover near 30–31°C but are often suppressed by organized convective activity and higher relative humidity (70–95%). Recent model runs and early-day observations showing temperatures in the mid-20s support the tight clustering around 29°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. September?
29°C 36%
30°C 26%
28°C 25%
31°C 12%
NEU
$36,951 Vol.
NEU
$36,951 Vol.
2. Sep. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
25%
29°C
36%
30°C
26%
31°C
12%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 26%
28°C 25%
31°C 12%
NEU
$36,951 Vol.
NEU
$36,951 Vol.
2. Sep. 2026
24°C or below
$955 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$479 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,892 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,932 Vol.
5%
28°C
$8,206 Vol.
25%
29°C
$4,073 Vol.
36%
30°C
$3,902 Vol.
26%
31°C
$3,353 Vol.
12%
32°C
$3,790 Vol.
3%
33°C
$2,091 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$279 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on 28–30°C as the likely daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 2, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory forecast range of 26–30°C (or up to 31°C) amid northeast monsoon flow and the nearby influence of tropical cyclone Sadul.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 4–6 on the Beaufort scale limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting mixing of cooler maritime air. Afternoon breaks in cloud could allow brief insolation spikes that differentiate a 28°C versus 30°C outcome, consistent with September climatology where typical maxima hover near 30–31°C but are often suppressed by organized convective activity and higher relative humidity (70–95%). Recent model runs and early-day observations showing temperatures in the mid-20s support the tight clustering around 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$36,951Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on 28–30°C as the likely daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 2, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory forecast range of 26–30°C (or up to 31°C) amid northeast monsoon flow and the nearby influence of tropical cyclone Sadul.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 4–6 on the Beaufort scale limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting mixing of cooler maritime air. Afternoon breaks in cloud could allow brief insolation spikes that differentiate a 28°C versus 30°C outcome, consistent with September climatology where typical maxima hover near 30–31°C but are often suppressed by organized convective activity and higher relative humidity (70–95%). Recent model runs and early-day observations showing temperatures in the mid-20s support the tight clustering around 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$36,951Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 28–30°C as the likely daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 2, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory forecast range of 26–30°C (or up to 31°C) amid northeast monsoon flow and the nearby influence of tropical cyclone Sadul.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 4–6 on the Beaufort scale limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting mixing of cooler maritime air. Afternoon breaks in cloud could allow brief insolation spikes that differentiate a 28°C versus 30°C outcome, consistent with September climatology where typical maxima hover near 30–31°C but are often suppressed by organized convective activity and higher relative humidity (70–95%). Recent model runs and early-day observations showing temperatures in the mid-20s support the tight clustering around 29°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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