Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature range of 25–30°C for September 3, driven by lingering effects of Tropical Cyclone Saudel over the northern South China Sea combined with northeast monsoon flow, producing northwest winds of force 4–5 and periods of showers with some sunny intervals. These conditions create uncertainty around peak heating: persistent cloud cover and rainfall suppress daytime maxima toward the lower end of the range, while brief clearing allows greater solar insolation and potential for 29–30°C readings at official stations. Sea surface temperatures near 25°C and soil temperatures around 30°C provide a baseline, but model consensus on exact shower timing and intensity remains the key variable ahead of the next forecast update.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 3. September?
29°C 36%
28°C 31%
30°C 28%
27°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C
12%
28°C
20%
29°C
31%
30°C
28%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 36%
28°C 31%
30°C 28%
27°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C
12%
28°C
20%
29°C
31%
30°C
28%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature range of 25–30°C for September 3, driven by lingering effects of Tropical Cyclone Saudel over the northern South China Sea combined with northeast monsoon flow, producing northwest winds of force 4–5 and periods of showers with some sunny intervals. These conditions create uncertainty around peak heating: persistent cloud cover and rainfall suppress daytime maxima toward the lower end of the range, while brief clearing allows greater solar insolation and potential for 29–30°C readings at official stations. Sea surface temperatures near 25°C and soil temperatures around 30°C provide a baseline, but model consensus on exact shower timing and intensity remains the key variable ahead of the next forecast update.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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