Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate mostly sunny skies and light to moderate northeast winds on September 3, supporting daily highs near 29–31°C as the primary driver of market-implied odds clustered at 30°C (34%) and 31°C (37%). Clear conditions allow strong daytime solar heating, while the coastal setting and onshore flow from the Yellow Sea provide natural moderation that typically caps peaks in this range. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, with minor variations in exact maximum tied to wind timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical early-September averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth without extreme outliers. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise threshold ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 3. September?
31°C 39%
30°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 11%
25°C oder weniger
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
34%
31°C
39%
32°C
14%
33°C
6%
34°C
5%
35°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 39%
30°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 11%
25°C oder weniger
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
34%
31°C
39%
32°C
14%
33°C
6%
34°C
5%
35°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate mostly sunny skies and light to moderate northeast winds on September 3, supporting daily highs near 29–31°C as the primary driver of market-implied odds clustered at 30°C (34%) and 31°C (37%). Clear conditions allow strong daytime solar heating, while the coastal setting and onshore flow from the Yellow Sea provide natural moderation that typically caps peaks in this range. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, with minor variations in exact maximum tied to wind timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical early-September averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth without extreme outliers. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise threshold ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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