Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C in Qingdao on September 2 under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting trader emphasis on the 18°C outcome at 61% implied probability. Stable high pressure favors radiative cooling overnight along the coast, while sea-surface temperatures and the absence of significant frontal systems limit further drops below 17°C. Historical early-September averages near 20°C and consistent short-range guidance reinforce the tight clustering around 17–20°C options, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited model spread and minimal recent changes in atmospheric conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 2. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 2. September?
16°C or below 82%
20°C 78%
19°C 75%
21°C 75%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
16°C or below
82%
17°C
40%
18°C
61%
19°C
75%
20°C
78%
21°C
75%
22°C
43%
23°C
43%
24°C
43%
25°C
43%
26°C or higher
48%
16°C or below 82%
20°C 78%
19°C 75%
21°C 75%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
82%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
61%
19°C
$0 Vol.
75%
20°C
$0 Vol.
78%
21°C
$0 Vol.
75%
22°C
$0 Vol.
43%
23°C
$0 Vol.
43%
24°C
$0 Vol.
43%
25°C
$0 Vol.
43%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C in Qingdao on September 2 under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting trader emphasis on the 18°C outcome at 61% implied probability. Stable high pressure favors radiative cooling overnight along the coast, while sea-surface temperatures and the absence of significant frontal systems limit further drops below 17°C. Historical early-September averages near 20°C and consistent short-range guidance reinforce the tight clustering around 17–20°C options, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited model spread and minimal recent changes in atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C in Qingdao on September 2 under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting trader emphasis on the 18°C outcome at 61% implied probability. Stable high pressure favors radiative cooling overnight along the coast, while sea-surface temperatures and the absence of significant frontal systems limit further drops below 17°C. Historical early-September averages near 20°C and consistent short-range guidance reinforce the tight clustering around 17–20°C options, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited model spread and minimal recent changes in atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C in Qingdao on September 2 under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting trader emphasis on the 18°C outcome at 61% implied probability. Stable high pressure favors radiative cooling overnight along the coast, while sea-surface temperatures and the absence of significant frontal systems limit further drops below 17°C. Historical early-September averages near 20°C and consistent short-range guidance reinforce the tight clustering around 17–20°C options, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited model spread and minimal recent changes in atmospheric conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen