**Persistent humidity, cloud cover, and warm advection from southwest flow are keeping overnight lows elevated around 70–73°F for New York City on September 3, 2026, according to National Weather Service and model consensus.** Recent observations show Central Park minima near 67°F on September 1–2 amid mostly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-60s, with no strong cold-air intrusion yet. Forecasts indicate showers and thunderstorms likely through much of September 3, maintaining a moist boundary layer that limits radiational cooling; winds shifting northwest only after midnight further moderate the drop. This places the expected minimum squarely in the 70–73°F range that dominates market-implied probabilities (72–73°F at 32.5%, 70–71°F at 32.0%). Slightly cooler 68–69°F outcomes (20.5%) would require faster clearing or drier air than currently modeled, while warmer readings reflect the ongoing above-average warmth. Model updates and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables traders are monitoring.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 3. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 3. September?
70-71°F 34%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 8%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
63°F oder niedriger
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
34%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F oder höher
1%
70-71°F 34%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 8%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
63°F oder niedriger
$10 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$78 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$174 Vol.
6%
68-69°F
$219 Vol.
21%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
34%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
32%
74-75°F
$246 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$10 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$10 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$10 Vol.
1%
82°F oder höher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent humidity, cloud cover, and warm advection from southwest flow are keeping overnight lows elevated around 70–73°F for New York City on September 3, 2026, according to National Weather Service and model consensus.**
Recent observations show Central Park minima near 67°F on September 1–2 amid mostly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-60s, with no strong cold-air intrusion yet. Forecasts indicate showers and thunderstorms likely through much of September 3, maintaining a moist boundary layer that limits radiational cooling; winds shifting northwest only after midnight further moderate the drop. This places the expected minimum squarely in the 70–73°F range that dominates market-implied probabilities (72–73°F at 32.5%, 70–71°F at 32.0%).
Slightly cooler 68–69°F outcomes (20.5%) would require faster clearing or drier air than currently modeled, while warmer readings reflect the ongoing above-average warmth. Model updates and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$767Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent humidity, cloud cover, and warm advection from southwest flow are keeping overnight lows elevated around 70–73°F for New York City on September 3, 2026, according to National Weather Service and model consensus.**
Recent observations show Central Park minima near 67°F on September 1–2 amid mostly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-60s, with no strong cold-air intrusion yet. Forecasts indicate showers and thunderstorms likely through much of September 3, maintaining a moist boundary layer that limits radiational cooling; winds shifting northwest only after midnight further moderate the drop. This places the expected minimum squarely in the 70–73°F range that dominates market-implied probabilities (72–73°F at 32.5%, 70–71°F at 32.0%).
Slightly cooler 68–69°F outcomes (20.5%) would require faster clearing or drier air than currently modeled, while warmer readings reflect the ongoing above-average warmth. Model updates and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$767Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent humidity, cloud cover, and warm advection from southwest flow are keeping overnight lows elevated around 70–73°F for New York City on September 3, 2026, according to National Weather Service and model consensus.** Recent observations show Central Park minima near 67°F on September 1–2 amid mostly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-60s, with no strong cold-air intrusion yet. Forecasts indicate showers and thunderstorms likely through much of September 3, maintaining a moist boundary layer that limits radiational cooling; winds shifting northwest only after midnight further moderate the drop. This places the expected minimum squarely in the 70–73°F range that dominates market-implied probabilities (72–73°F at 32.5%, 70–71°F at 32.0%). Slightly cooler 68–69°F outcomes (20.5%) would require faster clearing or drier air than currently modeled, while warmer readings reflect the ongoing above-average warmth. Model updates and any shifts in precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables traders are monitoring.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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