Recent forecasts for São Paulo on September 4 point to overnight lows near 15–17°C under post-frontal clearing and moderate northwesterly flow, with radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies supporting the market’s emphasis on the 13°C-or-below outcome at 49.5% implied probability. A cold front that crossed the region around September 1 lowered daytime maxima and established cooler air masses whose residual effects, combined with variable model guidance on cloud cover and wind, sustain trader caution about further drops. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 12°C, yet current ensemble spreads and the 29.5% probability assigned to 23°C-or-higher highs reflect uncertainty in whether daytime warming will limit nocturnal cooling. Updated runs from global models will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 4. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 4. September?
13°C oder darunter 99%
23°C oder höher 59%
15°C 50%
14°C 49%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
13°C oder darunter
99%
14°C
49%
15°C
50%
16°C
49%
17°C
25%
18°C
16%
19°C
19%
20°C
36%
21°C
36%
22°C
36%
23°C oder höher
59%
13°C oder darunter 99%
23°C oder höher 59%
15°C 50%
14°C 49%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
13°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
99%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$87 Vol.
16%
19°C
$0 Vol.
19%
20°C
$0 Vol.
36%
21°C
$0 Vol.
36%
22°C
$0 Vol.
36%
23°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo on September 4 point to overnight lows near 15–17°C under post-frontal clearing and moderate northwesterly flow, with radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies supporting the market’s emphasis on the 13°C-or-below outcome at 49.5% implied probability. A cold front that crossed the region around September 1 lowered daytime maxima and established cooler air masses whose residual effects, combined with variable model guidance on cloud cover and wind, sustain trader caution about further drops. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 12°C, yet current ensemble spreads and the 29.5% probability assigned to 23°C-or-higher highs reflect uncertainty in whether daytime warming will limit nocturnal cooling. Updated runs from global models will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Volumen
$87Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo on September 4 point to overnight lows near 15–17°C under post-frontal clearing and moderate northwesterly flow, with radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies supporting the market’s emphasis on the 13°C-or-below outcome at 49.5% implied probability. A cold front that crossed the region around September 1 lowered daytime maxima and established cooler air masses whose residual effects, combined with variable model guidance on cloud cover and wind, sustain trader caution about further drops. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 12°C, yet current ensemble spreads and the 29.5% probability assigned to 23°C-or-higher highs reflect uncertainty in whether daytime warming will limit nocturnal cooling. Updated runs from global models will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$87Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for São Paulo on September 4 point to overnight lows near 15–17°C under post-frontal clearing and moderate northwesterly flow, with radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies supporting the market’s emphasis on the 13°C-or-below outcome at 49.5% implied probability. A cold front that crossed the region around September 1 lowered daytime maxima and established cooler air masses whose residual effects, combined with variable model guidance on cloud cover and wind, sustain trader caution about further drops. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 12°C, yet current ensemble spreads and the 29.5% probability assigned to 23°C-or-higher highs reflect uncertainty in whether daytime warming will limit nocturnal cooling. Updated runs from global models will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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