Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate highs of 29–31°C for Panama City on September 4 amid the peak rainy season, with widespread afternoon convection, elevated humidity, and cloud cover limiting surface heating. Trade wind patterns and the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone favor scattered thunderstorms that reduce insolation and cap daytime maxima near or below seasonal averages. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by moisture influx rather than large-scale warming, keeping outcomes clustered around 30–32°C. Market-implied probabilities align closely with these conditions, as traders weigh the likelihood of brief clearing versus persistent cloudiness ahead of the next model update cycle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 4. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Panama City am 4. September?
32°C 44%
31°C 32%
29°C 17%
27°C 16%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
24°C oder weniger
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
16%
28°C
16%
29°C
17%
30°C
7%
31°C
32%
32°C
44%
33°C
16%
34°C oder höher
10%
32°C 44%
31°C 32%
29°C 17%
27°C 16%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
24°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$385 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
16%
28°C
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$13 Vol.
17%
30°C
$32 Vol.
7%
31°C
$43 Vol.
32%
32°C
$17 Vol.
44%
33°C
$10 Vol.
16%
34°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate highs of 29–31°C for Panama City on September 4 amid the peak rainy season, with widespread afternoon convection, elevated humidity, and cloud cover limiting surface heating. Trade wind patterns and the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone favor scattered thunderstorms that reduce insolation and cap daytime maxima near or below seasonal averages. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by moisture influx rather than large-scale warming, keeping outcomes clustered around 30–32°C. Market-implied probabilities align closely with these conditions, as traders weigh the likelihood of brief clearing versus persistent cloudiness ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$516Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate highs of 29–31°C for Panama City on September 4 amid the peak rainy season, with widespread afternoon convection, elevated humidity, and cloud cover limiting surface heating. Trade wind patterns and the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone favor scattered thunderstorms that reduce insolation and cap daytime maxima near or below seasonal averages. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by moisture influx rather than large-scale warming, keeping outcomes clustered around 30–32°C. Market-implied probabilities align closely with these conditions, as traders weigh the likelihood of brief clearing versus persistent cloudiness ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$516Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate highs of 29–31°C for Panama City on September 4 amid the peak rainy season, with widespread afternoon convection, elevated humidity, and cloud cover limiting surface heating. Trade wind patterns and the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone favor scattered thunderstorms that reduce insolation and cap daytime maxima near or below seasonal averages. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by moisture influx rather than large-scale warming, keeping outcomes clustered around 30–32°C. Market-implied probabilities align closely with these conditions, as traders weigh the likelihood of brief clearing versus persistent cloudiness ahead of the next model update cycle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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