Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of around 22°C in London on September 2, driven by mostly cloudy skies, moderate southwest winds, and limited solar heating under a stable late-summer air mass. This setup aligns closely with climatological norms near 23°C for early September while suppressing any strong warming. Hourly profiles show afternoon peaks clustering near 21–23°C with only light or no precipitation, keeping the distribution tight. Trader positioning, with 22°C at 40.5% and 23°C at 27%, reflects this model agreement and the short two-day lead time that limits upside surprises from unexpected clearing or advection. Minor revisions in next model cycles could still shift odds modestly within the 21–24°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 2. September?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 2. September?
22°C 41%
23°C 30%
21°C 19%
24°C 8%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
19%
22°C
41%
23°C
30%
24°C
8%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 41%
23°C 30%
21°C 19%
24°C 8%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
17°C or below
$166 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$14 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$16 Vol.
3%
20°C
$47 Vol.
7%
21°C
$108 Vol.
19%
22°C
$424 Vol.
41%
23°C
$350 Vol.
30%
24°C
$147 Vol.
8%
25°C
$126 Vol.
4%
26°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of around 22°C in London on September 2, driven by mostly cloudy skies, moderate southwest winds, and limited solar heating under a stable late-summer air mass. This setup aligns closely with climatological norms near 23°C for early September while suppressing any strong warming. Hourly profiles show afternoon peaks clustering near 21–23°C with only light or no precipitation, keeping the distribution tight. Trader positioning, with 22°C at 40.5% and 23°C at 27%, reflects this model agreement and the short two-day lead time that limits upside surprises from unexpected clearing or advection. Minor revisions in next model cycles could still shift odds modestly within the 21–24°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$1,601Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of around 22°C in London on September 2, driven by mostly cloudy skies, moderate southwest winds, and limited solar heating under a stable late-summer air mass. This setup aligns closely with climatological norms near 23°C for early September while suppressing any strong warming. Hourly profiles show afternoon peaks clustering near 21–23°C with only light or no precipitation, keeping the distribution tight. Trader positioning, with 22°C at 40.5% and 23°C at 27%, reflects this model agreement and the short two-day lead time that limits upside surprises from unexpected clearing or advection. Minor revisions in next model cycles could still shift odds modestly within the 21–24°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,601Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of around 22°C in London on September 2, driven by mostly cloudy skies, moderate southwest winds, and limited solar heating under a stable late-summer air mass. This setup aligns closely with climatological norms near 23°C for early September while suppressing any strong warming. Hourly profiles show afternoon peaks clustering near 21–23°C with only light or no precipitation, keeping the distribution tight. Trader positioning, with 22°C at 40.5% and 23°C at 27%, reflects this model agreement and the short two-day lead time that limits upside surprises from unexpected clearing or advection. Minor revisions in next model cycles could still shift odds modestly within the 21–24°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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