**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 11–13°C in São Paulo on September 2, driven by southeasterly advection of cooler maritime air behind a weakening frontal system and clear nocturnal skies that enhance radiative cooling under light winds.** Historical September averages near 12°C provide baseline context, with current ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Stronger winds or residual moisture could limit cooling to around 13°C, while calmer, drier conditions favor 12°C or slightly lower readings. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model differences heavily, with probabilities clustered tightly around the most likely outcomes given the short forecast horizon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 2. September?
9°C oder weniger 83%
19°C oder höher 83%
11°C 79%
15°C 77%
9°C oder weniger
83%
10°C
76%
11°C
79%
12°C
48%
13°C
52%
14°C
76%
15°C
77%
16°C
77%
17°C
2%
18°C
76%
19°C oder höher
83%
9°C oder weniger 83%
19°C oder höher 83%
11°C 79%
15°C 77%
9°C oder weniger
83%
10°C
76%
11°C
79%
12°C
48%
13°C
52%
14°C
76%
15°C
77%
16°C
77%
17°C
2%
18°C
76%
19°C oder höher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 11–13°C in São Paulo on September 2, driven by southeasterly advection of cooler maritime air behind a weakening frontal system and clear nocturnal skies that enhance radiative cooling under light winds.** Historical September averages near 12°C provide baseline context, with current ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Stronger winds or residual moisture could limit cooling to around 13°C, while calmer, drier conditions favor 12°C or slightly lower readings. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model differences heavily, with probabilities clustered tightly around the most likely outcomes given the short forecast horizon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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