Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional services indicate a probable high of 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 2, consistent with early-September norms at the city's 2,240-meter elevation during the rainy season. Recent model runs show partly cloudy conditions with scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 24°C. Historical climatology places the typical September maximum near 23°C, while urban effects and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty that keeps 25°C viable but less favored. Updated forecasts released over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 2. September?
24°C 54%
23°C 22%
25°C 17%
22°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
22%
24°C
54%
25°C
17%
26°C or higher
4%
24°C 54%
23°C 22%
25°C 17%
22°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
22%
24°C
54%
25°C
17%
26°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional services indicate a probable high of 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 2, consistent with early-September norms at the city's 2,240-meter elevation during the rainy season. Recent model runs show partly cloudy conditions with scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 24°C. Historical climatology places the typical September maximum near 23°C, while urban effects and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty that keeps 25°C viable but less favored. Updated forecasts released over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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