Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 3 point to daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under humid conditions with southerly flow drawing Gulf moisture. Afternoon instability from surface heating is expected to trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms, which could limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical early-September averages near 91°F provide context, yet the current pattern of elevated dew points and 60% rain chances favors the market's leading 88-89°F bin. Differences among closely matched outcomes hinge on the precise timing and coverage of convection, with stronger or earlier storms favoring the lower bins and clearer periods allowing brief pushes into the low 90s. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 3. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Houston am 3. September?
88-89°F 38%
86-87°F 32%
90-91 °F 19%
84-85°F 10%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
81°F oder darunter
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
38%
90-91 °F
19%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F oder höher
<1%
88-89°F 38%
86-87°F 32%
90-91 °F 19%
84-85°F 10%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
81°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$4 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$263 Vol.
32%
88-89°F
$38 Vol.
38%
90-91 °F
$0 Vol.
19%
92-93°F
$7 Vol.
7%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
1%
100°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 3 point to daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under humid conditions with southerly flow drawing Gulf moisture. Afternoon instability from surface heating is expected to trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms, which could limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical early-September averages near 91°F provide context, yet the current pattern of elevated dew points and 60% rain chances favors the market's leading 88-89°F bin. Differences among closely matched outcomes hinge on the precise timing and coverage of convection, with stronger or earlier storms favoring the lower bins and clearer periods allowing brief pushes into the low 90s. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$322Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 3 point to daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under humid conditions with southerly flow drawing Gulf moisture. Afternoon instability from surface heating is expected to trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms, which could limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical early-September averages near 91°F provide context, yet the current pattern of elevated dew points and 60% rain chances favors the market's leading 88-89°F bin. Differences among closely matched outcomes hinge on the precise timing and coverage of convection, with stronger or earlier storms favoring the lower bins and clearer periods allowing brief pushes into the low 90s. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$322Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 3 point to daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under humid conditions with southerly flow drawing Gulf moisture. Afternoon instability from surface heating is expected to trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms, which could limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical early-September averages near 91°F provide context, yet the current pattern of elevated dew points and 60% rain chances favors the market's leading 88-89°F bin. Differences among closely matched outcomes hinge on the precise timing and coverage of convection, with stronger or earlier storms favoring the lower bins and clearer periods allowing brief pushes into the low 90s. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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