Forecast consensus from GFS and other models points to a daytime high of 24–26°C in Paris on September 2, driven by moderate westerly flow, stable high pressure near 1023 hPa, and limited warm-air advection under partly to mostly cloudy skies. These conditions favor 25°C and 26°C as the leading market outcomes, consistent with current runs showing afternoon peaks near 23–25°C before cooling. Historical September averages hover around 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to 27°C or higher. Minor model spread in cloud cover and wind could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C, with final observational data from Météo-France resolving the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 2. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 2. September?
25°C 42%
26°C 28%
24°C 16%
27°C 9%
NEU
$11,264 Vol.
NEU
$11,264 Vol.
2. Sep. 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
16%
25°C
42%
26°C
28%
27°C
9%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 42%
26°C 28%
24°C 16%
27°C 9%
NEU
$11,264 Vol.
NEU
$11,264 Vol.
2. Sep. 2026
20°C or below
$420 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$391 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,343 Vol.
2%
24°C
$2,710 Vol.
16%
25°C
$1,416 Vol.
42%
26°C
$1,473 Vol.
28%
27°C
$1,121 Vol.
9%
28°C
$163 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$931 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from GFS and other models points to a daytime high of 24–26°C in Paris on September 2, driven by moderate westerly flow, stable high pressure near 1023 hPa, and limited warm-air advection under partly to mostly cloudy skies. These conditions favor 25°C and 26°C as the leading market outcomes, consistent with current runs showing afternoon peaks near 23–25°C before cooling. Historical September averages hover around 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to 27°C or higher. Minor model spread in cloud cover and wind could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C, with final observational data from Météo-France resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$11,264Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from GFS and other models points to a daytime high of 24–26°C in Paris on September 2, driven by moderate westerly flow, stable high pressure near 1023 hPa, and limited warm-air advection under partly to mostly cloudy skies. These conditions favor 25°C and 26°C as the leading market outcomes, consistent with current runs showing afternoon peaks near 23–25°C before cooling. Historical September averages hover around 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to 27°C or higher. Minor model spread in cloud cover and wind could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C, with final observational data from Météo-France resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,264Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from GFS and other models points to a daytime high of 24–26°C in Paris on September 2, driven by moderate westerly flow, stable high pressure near 1023 hPa, and limited warm-air advection under partly to mostly cloudy skies. These conditions favor 25°C and 26°C as the leading market outcomes, consistent with current runs showing afternoon peaks near 23–25°C before cooling. Historical September averages hover around 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to 27°C or higher. Minor model spread in cloud cover and wind could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C, with final observational data from Météo-France resolving the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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