Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daytime high of 26–28°C for São Paulo on September 3 under mostly clear skies, light northwest winds, and low humidity, positioning 27°C as the market favorite at 41.5% implied probability. This range aligns with early-spring climatology in the subtropical Cwa climate, where September highs average near 24–26°C amid the transition from the dry season, with strong solar insolation but no significant frontal systems or cloud cover expected to suppress temperatures. Model consensus and recent observational trends support limited upside risk above 28°C or downside below 26°C, explaining the tight clustering of leading outcomes while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 3. September?
27°C 42%
28°C 27%
26°C 21%
25°C 6%
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
21%
27°C
42%
28°C
27%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 27%
26°C 21%
25°C 6%
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
21%
27°C
42%
28°C
27%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daytime high of 26–28°C for São Paulo on September 3 under mostly clear skies, light northwest winds, and low humidity, positioning 27°C as the market favorite at 41.5% implied probability. This range aligns with early-spring climatology in the subtropical Cwa climate, where September highs average near 24–26°C amid the transition from the dry season, with strong solar insolation but no significant frontal systems or cloud cover expected to suppress temperatures. Model consensus and recent observational trends support limited upside risk above 28°C or downside below 26°C, explaining the tight clustering of leading outcomes while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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