Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature near 30–31°C for Guangzhou on September 2, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating amid the early-September transition from the monsoon season. This aligns with the market's peak implied probabilities on 30°C and 31°C, while the spread across 29–32°C reflects model variability in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical averages near 32.9°C provide context, yet current conditions— including 50–70% humidity and potential for afternoon convection—tilt consensus slightly cooler. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine steering patterns and instability ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 2. September?
30°C 30%
31°C 24%
29°C 17%
28°C 9%
$13,314 Vol.
$13,314 Vol.
25°C oder darunter
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
17%
30°C
30%
31°C
24%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 30%
31°C 24%
29°C 17%
28°C 9%
$13,314 Vol.
$13,314 Vol.
25°C oder darunter
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
17%
30°C
30%
31°C
24%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature near 30–31°C for Guangzhou on September 2, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating amid the early-September transition from the monsoon season. This aligns with the market's peak implied probabilities on 30°C and 31°C, while the spread across 29–32°C reflects model variability in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical averages near 32.9°C provide context, yet current conditions— including 50–70% humidity and potential for afternoon convection—tilt consensus slightly cooler. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine steering patterns and instability ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen