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icon for Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 2. September?

Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 2. September?

icon for Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 2. September?

Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 2. September?

Aug. 31

Sep. 1

Sep. 2

Aug. 31

Sep. 1

Sep. 2

29°C 25%

30°C 25%

31°C 12%

27°C 10%

Polymarket
NEU

29°C 25%

30°C 25%

31°C 12%

27°C 10%

Polymarket
NEU

23°C or below

$331 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$331 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$354 Vol.

2%

26°C

$35 Vol.

7%

27°C

$20 Vol.

10%

28°C

$10 Vol.

6%

29°C

$0 Vol.

25%

30°C

$0 Vol.

25%

31°C

$102 Vol.

17%

32°C

$5 Vol.

5%

33°C or higher

$25 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from northerly flows and typhoon-related moisture has moderated Wuhan temperatures into early September, with official and model guidance showing September 2 highs clustered around 27–30 °C amid increasing cloud cover and a chance of showers. These conditions limit daytime heating by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, creating tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes of 29 °C and 30 °C. Ensemble forecasts remain sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, producing the current near-even split in trader-implied probabilities while lower and higher thresholds stay discounted. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will further refine the expected maximum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$968
Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from northerly flows and typhoon-related moisture has moderated Wuhan temperatures into early September, with official and model guidance showing September 2 highs clustered around 27–30 °C amid increasing cloud cover and a chance of showers. These conditions limit daytime heating by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, creating tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes of 29 °C and 30 °C. Ensemble forecasts remain sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, producing the current near-even split in trader-implied probabilities while lower and higher thresholds stay discounted. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will further refine the expected maximum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$968
Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Verwandte

icon for Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 1?

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 1?

30%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 2?

Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 2?

46%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 1?

Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 1?

27%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 2. September?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „29°C" mit 25%, gefolgt von „30°C" mit 25%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 25¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 25% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 2. September?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 31, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 2. September?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 2. September?" ist „29°C" mit 25%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 25% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „30°C" mit 25%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 2. September?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.