Recent forecasts from MetService, NOAA-linked models, and local agencies indicate a high near 13–15 °C on August 31 under northwesterly flow that has replaced cooler southerlies, with mostly sunny skies and moderate winds promoting daytime warming. Late-winter climatology for Wellington shows mean August maxima around 13–14 °C, so current mild advection and reduced cloud cover support the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities at 13–16 °C. Minor differences among those outcomes hinge on precise timing of any wind shift, boundary-layer mixing depth, and short-lived cloud increases that could limit solar heating by 1–2 °C. Official guidance remains subject to the next model runs, which routinely refine highs within this narrow range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 31. August?
16°C 41%
17°C 26%
15°C 15%
14°C 12%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15°C
15%
16°C
41%
17°C
26%
18°C
7%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 41%
17°C 26%
15°C 15%
14°C 12%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
1%
13°C
$43 Vol.
3%
14°C
$0 Vol.
7%
15°C
$0 Vol.
15%
16°C
$0 Vol.
41%
17°C
$30 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
7%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService, NOAA-linked models, and local agencies indicate a high near 13–15 °C on August 31 under northwesterly flow that has replaced cooler southerlies, with mostly sunny skies and moderate winds promoting daytime warming. Late-winter climatology for Wellington shows mean August maxima around 13–14 °C, so current mild advection and reduced cloud cover support the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities at 13–16 °C. Minor differences among those outcomes hinge on precise timing of any wind shift, boundary-layer mixing depth, and short-lived cloud increases that could limit solar heating by 1–2 °C. Official guidance remains subject to the next model runs, which routinely refine highs within this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$73Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService, NOAA-linked models, and local agencies indicate a high near 13–15 °C on August 31 under northwesterly flow that has replaced cooler southerlies, with mostly sunny skies and moderate winds promoting daytime warming. Late-winter climatology for Wellington shows mean August maxima around 13–14 °C, so current mild advection and reduced cloud cover support the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities at 13–16 °C. Minor differences among those outcomes hinge on precise timing of any wind shift, boundary-layer mixing depth, and short-lived cloud increases that could limit solar heating by 1–2 °C. Official guidance remains subject to the next model runs, which routinely refine highs within this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$73Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService, NOAA-linked models, and local agencies indicate a high near 13–15 °C on August 31 under northwesterly flow that has replaced cooler southerlies, with mostly sunny skies and moderate winds promoting daytime warming. Late-winter climatology for Wellington shows mean August maxima around 13–14 °C, so current mild advection and reduced cloud cover support the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities at 13–16 °C. Minor differences among those outcomes hinge on precise timing of any wind shift, boundary-layer mixing depth, and short-lived cloud increases that could limit solar heating by 1–2 °C. Official guidance remains subject to the next model runs, which routinely refine highs within this narrow range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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