Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 2 point to an overnight low near 78–79°F amid persistent Gulf moisture, high humidity near 90–95%, and widespread cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms. Southerly winds limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the long-term average of 75°F. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustered in the upper 70s under similar synoptic patterns. Market-implied odds around 48–49% for bins at or below 73°F reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight minima or potential for localized cooling pockets, while comparable probabilities near 78–79°F align more closely with consensus guidance from NWS and ensemble data. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the precise threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Houston am 2. September?
74-75°F 91%
82-83°F 89%
76-77°F 51%
78-79°F 51%
71°F oder darunter
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
91%
76-77°F
51%
78-79°F
51%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
89%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
1%
90°F oder höher
47%
74-75°F 91%
82-83°F 89%
76-77°F 51%
78-79°F 51%
71°F oder darunter
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
91%
76-77°F
51%
78-79°F
51%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
89%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
1%
90°F oder höher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 2 point to an overnight low near 78–79°F amid persistent Gulf moisture, high humidity near 90–95%, and widespread cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms. Southerly winds limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the long-term average of 75°F. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustered in the upper 70s under similar synoptic patterns. Market-implied odds around 48–49% for bins at or below 73°F reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight minima or potential for localized cooling pockets, while comparable probabilities near 78–79°F align more closely with consensus guidance from NWS and ensemble data. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the precise threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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