Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts for Miami on September 1 project daytime highs near 88–90°F amid high humidity and 60–70% chances of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. These conditions align with the market’s leading 90–91°F bin at 44% implied probability. Persistent easterly flow and typical late-summer convective patterns—driven by strong surface heating and moisture—commonly cap peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping readings close to the long-term September average of 89°F. Updated model runs show limited upside risk above 92°F absent an unexpected suppression of storms, while downside scenarios below 88°F remain possible only with earlier or heavier rainfall.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 1. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 1. September?
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 24%
98°F oder höher 20%
86-87°F 19%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
79°F oder darunter
1%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
14%
98°F oder höher
20%
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 24%
98°F oder höher 20%
86-87°F 19%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
79°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
15%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
16%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
19%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
19%
90-91°F
$18 Vol.
45%
92-93°F
$3 Vol.
24%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
16%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
14%
98°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts for Miami on September 1 project daytime highs near 88–90°F amid high humidity and 60–70% chances of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. These conditions align with the market’s leading 90–91°F bin at 44% implied probability. Persistent easterly flow and typical late-summer convective patterns—driven by strong surface heating and moisture—commonly cap peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping readings close to the long-term September average of 89°F. Updated model runs show limited upside risk above 92°F absent an unexpected suppression of storms, while downside scenarios below 88°F remain possible only with earlier or heavier rainfall.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$22Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts for Miami on September 1 project daytime highs near 88–90°F amid high humidity and 60–70% chances of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. These conditions align with the market’s leading 90–91°F bin at 44% implied probability. Persistent easterly flow and typical late-summer convective patterns—driven by strong surface heating and moisture—commonly cap peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping readings close to the long-term September average of 89°F. Updated model runs show limited upside risk above 92°F absent an unexpected suppression of storms, while downside scenarios below 88°F remain possible only with earlier or heavier rainfall.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$22Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private forecasts for Miami on September 1 project daytime highs near 88–90°F amid high humidity and 60–70% chances of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. These conditions align with the market’s leading 90–91°F bin at 44% implied probability. Persistent easterly flow and typical late-summer convective patterns—driven by strong surface heating and moisture—commonly cap peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping readings close to the long-term September average of 89°F. Updated model runs show limited upside risk above 92°F absent an unexpected suppression of storms, while downside scenarios below 88°F remain possible only with earlier or heavier rainfall.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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