**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS, ECMWF, and national agencies, indicate a high near 25–26°C for Munich on August 30, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This places the market-implied peak of 27°C (47% probability) at the upper edge of the most likely range, followed by 26°C (20.5%) and 28°C (21.5%), consistent with ensemble spread where daytime maxima typically vary by 1–2°C due to cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. After warmer conditions on August 28 (locally 28–30°C), a cooler air mass and high-pressure building have moderated temperatures, aligning with late-August climatology of ~22–24°C while allowing modest recovery under clearing skies. Low precipitation chances and stable pressure further support limited variability, though minor model differences in insolation or weak frontal timing could nudge the exact peak toward 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against residual uncertainty in short-range guidance, keeping 25–28°C outcomes dominant while assigning low odds to extremes outside the forecast envelope.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 30. August?
27°C 47%
26°C 22%
28°C 22%
24°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
22%
27°C
47%
28°C
22%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 47%
26°C 22%
28°C 22%
24°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
22%
27°C
47%
28°C
22%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS, ECMWF, and national agencies, indicate a high near 25–26°C for Munich on August 30, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This places the market-implied peak of 27°C (47% probability) at the upper edge of the most likely range, followed by 26°C (20.5%) and 28°C (21.5%), consistent with ensemble spread where daytime maxima typically vary by 1–2°C due to cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. After warmer conditions on August 28 (locally 28–30°C), a cooler air mass and high-pressure building have moderated temperatures, aligning with late-August climatology of ~22–24°C while allowing modest recovery under clearing skies. Low precipitation chances and stable pressure further support limited variability, though minor model differences in insolation or weak frontal timing could nudge the exact peak toward 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against residual uncertainty in short-range guidance, keeping 25–28°C outcomes dominant while assigning low odds to extremes outside the forecast envelope.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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