Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the German Weather Service and global models point to overnight lows of 15–17°C on August 30 in Munich under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, consistent with typical late-August radiative cooling after daytime highs near 26°C. The market’s elevated 42% implied probability on 12°C or below reflects trader assessment of model spread and potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if clearer conditions develop or cooler air advection strengthens following recent frontal activity. Historical August 30 lows average 12.6°C with records as low as 4.5°C, underscoring natural variability from synoptic patterns that keeps probabilities distributed across the mid-teens despite current consensus guidance. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 30. August?
12°C or below 86%
15°C 28%
16°C 26%
14°C 25%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
12°C or below
86%
13°C
13%
14°C
25%
15°C
28%
16°C
26%
17°C
22%
18°C
16%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
6%
12°C or below 86%
15°C 28%
16°C 26%
14°C 25%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
86%
13°C
$0 Vol.
13%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$5 Vol.
16%
19°C
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C
$5 Vol.
8%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the German Weather Service and global models point to overnight lows of 15–17°C on August 30 in Munich under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, consistent with typical late-August radiative cooling after daytime highs near 26°C. The market’s elevated 42% implied probability on 12°C or below reflects trader assessment of model spread and potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if clearer conditions develop or cooler air advection strengthens following recent frontal activity. Historical August 30 lows average 12.6°C with records as low as 4.5°C, underscoring natural variability from synoptic patterns that keeps probabilities distributed across the mid-teens despite current consensus guidance. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$25Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the German Weather Service and global models point to overnight lows of 15–17°C on August 30 in Munich under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, consistent with typical late-August radiative cooling after daytime highs near 26°C. The market’s elevated 42% implied probability on 12°C or below reflects trader assessment of model spread and potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if clearer conditions develop or cooler air advection strengthens following recent frontal activity. Historical August 30 lows average 12.6°C with records as low as 4.5°C, underscoring natural variability from synoptic patterns that keeps probabilities distributed across the mid-teens despite current consensus guidance. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the German Weather Service and global models point to overnight lows of 15–17°C on August 30 in Munich under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, consistent with typical late-August radiative cooling after daytime highs near 26°C. The market’s elevated 42% implied probability on 12°C or below reflects trader assessment of model spread and potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if clearer conditions develop or cooler air advection strengthens following recent frontal activity. Historical August 30 lows average 12.6°C with records as low as 4.5°C, underscoring natural variability from synoptic patterns that keeps probabilities distributed across the mid-teens despite current consensus guidance. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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