Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and supporting numerical models point to a highest temperature on August 30 most likely between 29–32 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Weak southwest flow, abundant low-level moisture, and scattered showers plus thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating and cap peaks below the seasonal average of roughly 31 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to exact shower timing and cloud cover, while ENSO-related warmth provides a slight upward bias relative to long-term climatology. Updated HKO bulletins and high-resolution model outputs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and resolution odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 30. August?
31°C 35%
30°C 30%
29°C 20%
32°C 12%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
6%
29°C
20%
30°C
30%
31°C
35%
32°C
12%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 30%
29°C 20%
32°C 12%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$239 Vol.
6%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$109 Vol.
30%
31°C
$0 Vol.
35%
32°C
$83 Vol.
12%
33°C
$25 Vol.
4%
34°C
$100 Vol.
3%
35°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and supporting numerical models point to a highest temperature on August 30 most likely between 29–32 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Weak southwest flow, abundant low-level moisture, and scattered showers plus thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating and cap peaks below the seasonal average of roughly 31 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to exact shower timing and cloud cover, while ENSO-related warmth provides a slight upward bias relative to long-term climatology. Updated HKO bulletins and high-resolution model outputs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$964Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and supporting numerical models point to a highest temperature on August 30 most likely between 29–32 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Weak southwest flow, abundant low-level moisture, and scattered showers plus thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating and cap peaks below the seasonal average of roughly 31 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to exact shower timing and cloud cover, while ENSO-related warmth provides a slight upward bias relative to long-term climatology. Updated HKO bulletins and high-resolution model outputs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$964Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and supporting numerical models point to a highest temperature on August 30 most likely between 29–32 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Weak southwest flow, abundant low-level moisture, and scattered showers plus thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating and cap peaks below the seasonal average of roughly 31 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to exact shower timing and cloud cover, while ENSO-related warmth provides a slight upward bias relative to long-term climatology. Updated HKO bulletins and high-resolution model outputs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and resolution odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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