Trader consensus clustering on 22–23°C for London's August 30 maximum reflects tight agreement in short-range forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles, with only marginal differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. A building high-pressure ridge favors modest southerly flow and clear conditions that support surface warming near seasonal norms, yet subtle variations in Atlantic frontal approach or diurnal heating rates could shift the peak by 1°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, limiting upside beyond 24°C, while recent model runs show consistent overnight minima that anchor daytime recovery.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 30. August?
23°C 40%
22°C 37%
24°C 11%
21°C 9%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
37%
23°C
40%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
22°C 37%
24°C 11%
21°C 9%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
$330 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$335 Vol.
2%
20°C
$287 Vol.
4%
21°C
$363 Vol.
9%
22°C
$536 Vol.
37%
23°C
$923 Vol.
40%
24°C
$381 Vol.
11%
25°C
$164 Vol.
3%
26°C
$206 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clustering on 22–23°C for London's August 30 maximum reflects tight agreement in short-range forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles, with only marginal differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. A building high-pressure ridge favors modest southerly flow and clear conditions that support surface warming near seasonal norms, yet subtle variations in Atlantic frontal approach or diurnal heating rates could shift the peak by 1°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, limiting upside beyond 24°C, while recent model runs show consistent overnight minima that anchor daytime recovery.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$3,987Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clustering on 22–23°C for London's August 30 maximum reflects tight agreement in short-range forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles, with only marginal differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. A building high-pressure ridge favors modest southerly flow and clear conditions that support surface warming near seasonal norms, yet subtle variations in Atlantic frontal approach or diurnal heating rates could shift the peak by 1°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, limiting upside beyond 24°C, while recent model runs show consistent overnight minima that anchor daytime recovery.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,987Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clustering on 22–23°C for London's August 30 maximum reflects tight agreement in short-range forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles, with only marginal differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. A building high-pressure ridge favors modest southerly flow and clear conditions that support surface warming near seasonal norms, yet subtle variations in Atlantic frontal approach or diurnal heating rates could shift the peak by 1°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, limiting upside beyond 24°C, while recent model runs show consistent overnight minima that anchor daytime recovery.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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