Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts point to an overnight low of 15–16 °C in London on 30 August, driven by mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under unsettled late-summer conditions. These factors suppress the sharp temperature drops typical of clear, calm nights, keeping minima above the long-term August 30 average of ~13 °C recorded at Heathrow. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5 % probability for 16 °C and 34.5 % for 17 °C aligns with this model agreement, while lower odds on 15 °C or below capture residual uncertainty from possible clearer breaks or model shifts ahead of the final observation. Updated guidance from the Met Office and real-time station data will be the key resolution inputs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 30. August?
16°C 55%
17°C 35%
15°C 11%
18°C 3%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
11°C oder niedriger
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
11%
16°C
55%
17°C
35%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 55%
17°C 35%
15°C 11%
18°C 3%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
11°C oder niedriger
$17 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$40 Vol.
2%
13°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
1%
15°C
$41 Vol.
11%
16°C
$954 Vol.
55%
17°C
$277 Vol.
35%
18°C
$153 Vol.
3%
19°C
$17 Vol.
1%
20°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
21°C oder höher
$43 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts point to an overnight low of 15–16 °C in London on 30 August, driven by mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under unsettled late-summer conditions. These factors suppress the sharp temperature drops typical of clear, calm nights, keeping minima above the long-term August 30 average of ~13 °C recorded at Heathrow. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5 % probability for 16 °C and 34.5 % for 17 °C aligns with this model agreement, while lower odds on 15 °C or below capture residual uncertainty from possible clearer breaks or model shifts ahead of the final observation. Updated guidance from the Met Office and real-time station data will be the key resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,573Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts point to an overnight low of 15–16 °C in London on 30 August, driven by mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under unsettled late-summer conditions. These factors suppress the sharp temperature drops typical of clear, calm nights, keeping minima above the long-term August 30 average of ~13 °C recorded at Heathrow. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5 % probability for 16 °C and 34.5 % for 17 °C aligns with this model agreement, while lower odds on 15 °C or below capture residual uncertainty from possible clearer breaks or model shifts ahead of the final observation. Updated guidance from the Met Office and real-time station data will be the key resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,573Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts point to an overnight low of 15–16 °C in London on 30 August, driven by mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under unsettled late-summer conditions. These factors suppress the sharp temperature drops typical of clear, calm nights, keeping minima above the long-term August 30 average of ~13 °C recorded at Heathrow. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5 % probability for 16 °C and 34.5 % for 17 °C aligns with this model agreement, while lower odds on 15 °C or below capture residual uncertainty from possible clearer breaks or model shifts ahead of the final observation. Updated guidance from the Met Office and real-time station data will be the key resolution inputs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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