Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on September 4 points to a mostly sunny day with highs in the low-to-mid 90s°F under southerly flow, consistent with the historical average high of 93°F and the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 90–95°F bins. A 20% chance of morning showers and increasing humidity may produce variable cloud cover that slightly suppresses peak temperatures relative to the hotter conditions observed September 1–2. Ensemble spread and differences in how models handle boundary-layer moisture and any weak frontal passage create the primary uncertainty between the leading 92–93°F, 94–95°F, and 90–91°F outcomes, with traders weighting official forecast updates and heat-index considerations in their assessments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 4. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Dallas am 4. September?
92-93°F 30%
94-95°F 25%
90-91°F 24%
98-99°F 15%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
85°F oder darunter
2%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
25%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
3%
104°F oder höher
4%
92-93°F 30%
94-95°F 25%
90-91°F 24%
98-99°F 15%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
85°F oder darunter
$54 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$7 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$270 Vol.
24%
92-93°F
$410 Vol.
30%
94-95°F
$92 Vol.
25%
96-97°F
$56 Vol.
12%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
15%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
6%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
3%
104°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on September 4 points to a mostly sunny day with highs in the low-to-mid 90s°F under southerly flow, consistent with the historical average high of 93°F and the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 90–95°F bins. A 20% chance of morning showers and increasing humidity may produce variable cloud cover that slightly suppresses peak temperatures relative to the hotter conditions observed September 1–2. Ensemble spread and differences in how models handle boundary-layer moisture and any weak frontal passage create the primary uncertainty between the leading 92–93°F, 94–95°F, and 90–91°F outcomes, with traders weighting official forecast updates and heat-index considerations in their assessments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volumen
$890Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on September 4 points to a mostly sunny day with highs in the low-to-mid 90s°F under southerly flow, consistent with the historical average high of 93°F and the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 90–95°F bins. A 20% chance of morning showers and increasing humidity may produce variable cloud cover that slightly suppresses peak temperatures relative to the hotter conditions observed September 1–2. Ensemble spread and differences in how models handle boundary-layer moisture and any weak frontal passage create the primary uncertainty between the leading 92–93°F, 94–95°F, and 90–91°F outcomes, with traders weighting official forecast updates and heat-index considerations in their assessments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$890Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on September 4 points to a mostly sunny day with highs in the low-to-mid 90s°F under southerly flow, consistent with the historical average high of 93°F and the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 90–95°F bins. A 20% chance of morning showers and increasing humidity may produce variable cloud cover that slightly suppresses peak temperatures relative to the hotter conditions observed September 1–2. Ensemble spread and differences in how models handle boundary-layer moisture and any weak frontal passage create the primary uncertainty between the leading 92–93°F, 94–95°F, and 90–91°F outcomes, with traders weighting official forecast updates and heat-index considerations in their assessments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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