Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 project a minimum near 25°C under northwest winds of 4–5, scattered showers, and daytime highs of 30°C, following the passage of tropical cyclone influences that have maintained elevated humidity and limited nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in overnight lows between 24–26°C depending on cloud cover and shower timing, which explains the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes and elevated implied probabilities for 25°C. Drier continental air advection could allow slightly cooler readings near 23–24°C, while persistent moisture or delayed clearing favors 26–27°C. Traders monitor the next HKO updates and high-resolution model guidance for any shifts in the steering flow or precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 3. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 3. September?
30°C or higher 46%
25°C 38%
24°C 23%
26°C 20%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
20°C or below
7%
21°C
14%
22°C
10%
23°C
11%
24°C
23%
25°C
38%
26°C
20%
27°C
11%
28°C
19%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
46%
30°C or higher 46%
25°C 38%
24°C 23%
26°C 20%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
7%
21°C
$5 Vol.
14%
22°C
$20 Vol.
10%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
38%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
11%
28°C
$5 Vol.
19%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$7 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 project a minimum near 25°C under northwest winds of 4–5, scattered showers, and daytime highs of 30°C, following the passage of tropical cyclone influences that have maintained elevated humidity and limited nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in overnight lows between 24–26°C depending on cloud cover and shower timing, which explains the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes and elevated implied probabilities for 25°C. Drier continental air advection could allow slightly cooler readings near 23–24°C, while persistent moisture or delayed clearing favors 26–27°C. Traders monitor the next HKO updates and high-resolution model guidance for any shifts in the steering flow or precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$47Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 project a minimum near 25°C under northwest winds of 4–5, scattered showers, and daytime highs of 30°C, following the passage of tropical cyclone influences that have maintained elevated humidity and limited nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in overnight lows between 24–26°C depending on cloud cover and shower timing, which explains the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes and elevated implied probabilities for 25°C. Drier continental air advection could allow slightly cooler readings near 23–24°C, while persistent moisture or delayed clearing favors 26–27°C. Traders monitor the next HKO updates and high-resolution model guidance for any shifts in the steering flow or precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$47Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 project a minimum near 25°C under northwest winds of 4–5, scattered showers, and daytime highs of 30°C, following the passage of tropical cyclone influences that have maintained elevated humidity and limited nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in overnight lows between 24–26°C depending on cloud cover and shower timing, which explains the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes and elevated implied probabilities for 25°C. Drier continental air advection could allow slightly cooler readings near 23–24°C, while persistent moisture or delayed clearing favors 26–27°C. Traders monitor the next HKO updates and high-resolution model guidance for any shifts in the steering flow or precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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