Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature range of 26–30°C for August 31 under a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms. This setup, combined with high humidity (80–95%) and light southerly to southeasterly winds, supports trader consensus around 26°C as the most probable daily low, consistent with typical late-August climatology where overnight minima average near 26–27°C. Recent model runs and surface observations show limited cooling potential due to persistent cloud cover and moisture, while lower probabilities for 25°C or 24°C reflect uncertainty from heavier rainfall bands that could enhance radiative cooling. Higher outcomes above 27°C appear less likely given the active convective pattern expected through the period.