**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s September 4 maximum temperature centers on 19–21°C, with 20°C holding the highest implied probability at 46.5%.** This positioning reflects current forecast consensus from multiple models showing post-frontal clearing after a cut-off low and associated rain/wind event on September 3. Strong southeasterly winds (20–35 km/h with gusts) are expected to persist on the 4th under mostly clear skies, limiting daytime warming despite spring insolation while preventing significant overnight heat retention. Recent observations confirm the frontal passage has already cooled the region, with Thursday highs near 16°C and heavy showers; subsequent subsidence and dry advection favor a rebound to the upper teens or low 20s. Historical September averages (around 18°C) provide context, but the specific synoptic setup—rapid clearing behind the system and persistent on-shore flow—anchors probabilities near 19–20°C. Upcoming model runs and official SA Weather Service updates through September 3 will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 4. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 4. September?
20°C 47%
19°C 29%
21°C 16%
18°C 7%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
29%
20°C
47%
21°C
16%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
1%
20°C 47%
19°C 29%
21°C 16%
18°C 7%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
$142 Vol.
1%
15°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$255 Vol.
1%
17°C
$122 Vol.
3%
18°C
$79 Vol.
7%
19°C
$2,923 Vol.
29%
20°C
$371 Vol.
47%
21°C
$475 Vol.
16%
22°C
$78 Vol.
1%
23°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
24°C oder höher
$122 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s September 4 maximum temperature centers on 19–21°C, with 20°C holding the highest implied probability at 46.5%.**
This positioning reflects current forecast consensus from multiple models showing post-frontal clearing after a cut-off low and associated rain/wind event on September 3. Strong southeasterly winds (20–35 km/h with gusts) are expected to persist on the 4th under mostly clear skies, limiting daytime warming despite spring insolation while preventing significant overnight heat retention.
Recent observations confirm the frontal passage has already cooled the region, with Thursday highs near 16°C and heavy showers; subsequent subsidence and dry advection favor a rebound to the upper teens or low 20s. Historical September averages (around 18°C) provide context, but the specific synoptic setup—rapid clearing behind the system and persistent on-shore flow—anchors probabilities near 19–20°C.
Upcoming model runs and official SA Weather Service updates through September 3 will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$4,636Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s September 4 maximum temperature centers on 19–21°C, with 20°C holding the highest implied probability at 46.5%.**
This positioning reflects current forecast consensus from multiple models showing post-frontal clearing after a cut-off low and associated rain/wind event on September 3. Strong southeasterly winds (20–35 km/h with gusts) are expected to persist on the 4th under mostly clear skies, limiting daytime warming despite spring insolation while preventing significant overnight heat retention.
Recent observations confirm the frontal passage has already cooled the region, with Thursday highs near 16°C and heavy showers; subsequent subsidence and dry advection favor a rebound to the upper teens or low 20s. Historical September averages (around 18°C) provide context, but the specific synoptic setup—rapid clearing behind the system and persistent on-shore flow—anchors probabilities near 19–20°C.
Upcoming model runs and official SA Weather Service updates through September 3 will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,636Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s September 4 maximum temperature centers on 19–21°C, with 20°C holding the highest implied probability at 46.5%.** This positioning reflects current forecast consensus from multiple models showing post-frontal clearing after a cut-off low and associated rain/wind event on September 3. Strong southeasterly winds (20–35 km/h with gusts) are expected to persist on the 4th under mostly clear skies, limiting daytime warming despite spring insolation while preventing significant overnight heat retention. Recent observations confirm the frontal passage has already cooled the region, with Thursday highs near 16°C and heavy showers; subsequent subsidence and dry advection favor a rebound to the upper teens or low 20s. Historical September averages (around 18°C) provide context, but the specific synoptic setup—rapid clearing behind the system and persistent on-shore flow—anchors probabilities near 19–20°C. Upcoming model runs and official SA Weather Service updates through September 3 will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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