Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and regional sources indicate Moscow's September 7 low will likely fall between 8–11°C under northwest flow and scattered showers, with overnight radiative cooling limited by cloud cover. Trader consensus remains closely split because small shifts in timing of the cold front or clearer skies could push the minimum several degrees lower or keep it above 12°C, consistent with historical early-September variability around a 9–10°C baseline. Updated model runs and Hydrometeorological Center briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could resolve the 3°C-or-below versus 13°C-or-higher balance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 7. September?
3°C oder weniger 100%
13°C oder höher 97%
4°C 50%
5°C 50%
3°C oder weniger
100%
4°C
50%
5°C
50%
6°C
50%
7°C
50%
8°C
35%
9°C
31%
10°C
50%
11°C
2%
12°C
50%
13°C oder höher
97%
3°C oder weniger 100%
13°C oder höher 97%
4°C 50%
5°C 50%
3°C oder weniger
100%
4°C
50%
5°C
50%
6°C
50%
7°C
50%
8°C
35%
9°C
31%
10°C
50%
11°C
2%
12°C
50%
13°C oder höher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and regional sources indicate Moscow's September 7 low will likely fall between 8–11°C under northwest flow and scattered showers, with overnight radiative cooling limited by cloud cover. Trader consensus remains closely split because small shifts in timing of the cold front or clearer skies could push the minimum several degrees lower or keep it above 12°C, consistent with historical early-September variability around a 9–10°C baseline. Updated model runs and Hydrometeorological Center briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could resolve the 3°C-or-below versus 13°C-or-higher balance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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