Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Warsaw's September 7 daytime maximum hovering near 20–21 °C, producing the tightest market clustering around those two outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, low-level advection of slightly cooler maritime air, and afternoon cloud cover explain the narrow spread, while the absence of strong high pressure or warm-air advection keeps temperatures well below late-summer normals. Official guidance from national meteorological services continues to highlight modest run-to-run variability in the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, sustaining the current 43.5 % / 35 % implied probabilities for 21 °C versus 20 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data from the coming 48 hours will be the next key inputs for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 7. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 7. September?
21°C 43%
20°C 35%
19°C 13%
22°C 12%
NEU
NEU
7. Sep. 2026
15°C oder weniger
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
8%
19°C
13%
20°C
35%
21°C
43%
22°C
12%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C oder höher
2%
21°C 43%
20°C 35%
19°C 13%
22°C 12%
NEU
NEU
7. Sep. 2026
15°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C
$10 Vol.
13%
20°C
$306 Vol.
35%
21°C
$336 Vol.
43%
22°C
$0 Vol.
12%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Warsaw's September 7 daytime maximum hovering near 20–21 °C, producing the tightest market clustering around those two outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, low-level advection of slightly cooler maritime air, and afternoon cloud cover explain the narrow spread, while the absence of strong high pressure or warm-air advection keeps temperatures well below late-summer normals. Official guidance from national meteorological services continues to highlight modest run-to-run variability in the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, sustaining the current 43.5 % / 35 % implied probabilities for 21 °C versus 20 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data from the coming 48 hours will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$652Enddatum
7. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Warsaw's September 7 daytime maximum hovering near 20–21 °C, producing the tightest market clustering around those two outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, low-level advection of slightly cooler maritime air, and afternoon cloud cover explain the narrow spread, while the absence of strong high pressure or warm-air advection keeps temperatures well below late-summer normals. Official guidance from national meteorological services continues to highlight modest run-to-run variability in the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, sustaining the current 43.5 % / 35 % implied probabilities for 21 °C versus 20 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data from the coming 48 hours will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$652Enddatum
7. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Warsaw's September 7 daytime maximum hovering near 20–21 °C, producing the tightest market clustering around those two outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, low-level advection of slightly cooler maritime air, and afternoon cloud cover explain the narrow spread, while the absence of strong high pressure or warm-air advection keeps temperatures well below late-summer normals. Official guidance from national meteorological services continues to highlight modest run-to-run variability in the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, sustaining the current 43.5 % / 35 % implied probabilities for 21 °C versus 20 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data from the coming 48 hours will be the next key inputs for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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