Recent weather model runs show Warsaw's September 6 minimum temperature centered near 11–13 °C under moderate westerly flow, yet market odds split evenly between sub-8 °C and 18 °C-plus outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast divergence. Key variables include the strength and timing of an approaching Atlantic trough, which could enhance clear-sky radiative cooling and drop overnight lows several degrees below guidance, versus increased cloud cover and stronger winds that would limit nocturnal temperature falls. Historical September minima average around 10 °C, but early-month variability tied to jet-stream position and soil moisture can produce rapid 5–7 °C swings. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected within 24 hours, along with any shift in steering patterns, will likely resolve the current balance between these competing scenarios.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 6. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 6. September?
8°C oder niedriger 49%
13°C 49%
18°C oder höher 49%
11°C 32%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
8°C oder niedriger
49%
9°C
15%
10°C
20%
11°C
32%
12°C
27%
13°C
49%
14°C
29%
15°C
15%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C oder höher
49%
8°C oder niedriger 49%
13°C 49%
18°C oder höher 49%
11°C 32%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
8°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
49%
9°C
$0 Vol.
15%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$0 Vol.
32%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
15%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model runs show Warsaw's September 6 minimum temperature centered near 11–13 °C under moderate westerly flow, yet market odds split evenly between sub-8 °C and 18 °C-plus outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast divergence. Key variables include the strength and timing of an approaching Atlantic trough, which could enhance clear-sky radiative cooling and drop overnight lows several degrees below guidance, versus increased cloud cover and stronger winds that would limit nocturnal temperature falls. Historical September minima average around 10 °C, but early-month variability tied to jet-stream position and soil moisture can produce rapid 5–7 °C swings. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected within 24 hours, along with any shift in steering patterns, will likely resolve the current balance between these competing scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model runs show Warsaw's September 6 minimum temperature centered near 11–13 °C under moderate westerly flow, yet market odds split evenly between sub-8 °C and 18 °C-plus outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast divergence. Key variables include the strength and timing of an approaching Atlantic trough, which could enhance clear-sky radiative cooling and drop overnight lows several degrees below guidance, versus increased cloud cover and stronger winds that would limit nocturnal temperature falls. Historical September minima average around 10 °C, but early-month variability tied to jet-stream position and soil moisture can produce rapid 5–7 °C swings. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected within 24 hours, along with any shift in steering patterns, will likely resolve the current balance between these competing scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model runs show Warsaw's September 6 minimum temperature centered near 11–13 °C under moderate westerly flow, yet market odds split evenly between sub-8 °C and 18 °C-plus outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast divergence. Key variables include the strength and timing of an approaching Atlantic trough, which could enhance clear-sky radiative cooling and drop overnight lows several degrees below guidance, versus increased cloud cover and stronger winds that would limit nocturnal temperature falls. Historical September minima average around 10 °C, but early-month variability tied to jet-stream position and soil moisture can produce rapid 5–7 °C swings. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected within 24 hours, along with any shift in steering patterns, will likely resolve the current balance between these competing scenarios.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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