**Trader consensus across the evenly split 84–93°F ranges reflects substantial forecast uncertainty for Miami’s September 6 maximum, driven by the timing and intensity of afternoon convection.** Typical late-summer conditions feature high humidity, light southeasterly flow, and sea-breeze convergence that triggers thunderstorms after peak heating, often capping the daily high in the upper 80s to low 90s. Model guidance as of September 4 shows scattered to numerous storms possible during the afternoon window, with any earlier or stronger activity lowering the peak while delayed or weaker convection would allow readings near or above 90°F. Historical September averages near 88–89°F and the 15–20% chance of 90°F+ days underscore how small shifts in moisture, instability, or steering winds can move the outcome across multiple market bins. Updated National Weather Service and mesoscale model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the primary resolution driver.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 6. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 6. September?
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 20%
86-87°F 7%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
79°F oder darunter
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
6%
98°F oder höher
7%
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 20%
86-87°F 7%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
79°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
45%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
45%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
20%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
7%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
6%
98°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus across the evenly split 84–93°F ranges reflects substantial forecast uncertainty for Miami’s September 6 maximum, driven by the timing and intensity of afternoon convection.** Typical late-summer conditions feature high humidity, light southeasterly flow, and sea-breeze convergence that triggers thunderstorms after peak heating, often capping the daily high in the upper 80s to low 90s. Model guidance as of September 4 shows scattered to numerous storms possible during the afternoon window, with any earlier or stronger activity lowering the peak while delayed or weaker convection would allow readings near or above 90°F. Historical September averages near 88–89°F and the 15–20% chance of 90°F+ days underscore how small shifts in moisture, instability, or steering winds can move the outcome across multiple market bins. Updated National Weather Service and mesoscale model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the primary resolution driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus across the evenly split 84–93°F ranges reflects substantial forecast uncertainty for Miami’s September 6 maximum, driven by the timing and intensity of afternoon convection.** Typical late-summer conditions feature high humidity, light southeasterly flow, and sea-breeze convergence that triggers thunderstorms after peak heating, often capping the daily high in the upper 80s to low 90s. Model guidance as of September 4 shows scattered to numerous storms possible during the afternoon window, with any earlier or stronger activity lowering the peak while delayed or weaker convection would allow readings near or above 90°F. Historical September averages near 88–89°F and the 15–20% chance of 90°F+ days underscore how small shifts in moisture, instability, or steering winds can move the outcome across multiple market bins. Updated National Weather Service and mesoscale model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the primary resolution driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus across the evenly split 84–93°F ranges reflects substantial forecast uncertainty for Miami’s September 6 maximum, driven by the timing and intensity of afternoon convection.** Typical late-summer conditions feature high humidity, light southeasterly flow, and sea-breeze convergence that triggers thunderstorms after peak heating, often capping the daily high in the upper 80s to low 90s. Model guidance as of September 4 shows scattered to numerous storms possible during the afternoon window, with any earlier or stronger activity lowering the peak while delayed or weaker convection would allow readings near or above 90°F. Historical September averages near 88–89°F and the 15–20% chance of 90°F+ days underscore how small shifts in moisture, instability, or steering winds can move the outcome across multiple market bins. Updated National Weather Service and mesoscale model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the primary resolution driver.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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