Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers converge on a Sunday night low of 78–79°F for Miami, consistent with the market’s highest-implied-probability bin. Persistent high humidity, southeasterly flow, and afternoon thunderstorm activity keep overnight temperatures from dropping further, while typical early-September climatology (average low near 77°F) provides little basis for extremes. Recent observations show overnight lows in the upper 70s amid similar moist, unstable conditions, with no incoming cold front or tropical system expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders therefore assign the strongest odds to the narrow 78–79°F range, reflecting both model consensus and the narrow historical distribution of September nocturnal temperatures in South Florida.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 6. September?
71°F oder darunter 48%
90°F oder höher 48%
78-79°F 38%
72-73°F 35%
71°F oder darunter
48%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
30%
88-89 °F
29%
90°F oder höher
48%
71°F oder darunter 48%
90°F oder höher 48%
78-79°F 38%
72-73°F 35%
71°F oder darunter
48%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
30%
88-89 °F
29%
90°F oder höher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers converge on a Sunday night low of 78–79°F for Miami, consistent with the market’s highest-implied-probability bin. Persistent high humidity, southeasterly flow, and afternoon thunderstorm activity keep overnight temperatures from dropping further, while typical early-September climatology (average low near 77°F) provides little basis for extremes. Recent observations show overnight lows in the upper 70s amid similar moist, unstable conditions, with no incoming cold front or tropical system expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders therefore assign the strongest odds to the narrow 78–79°F range, reflecting both model consensus and the narrow historical distribution of September nocturnal temperatures in South Florida.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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