Current forecasts from sources including MetService-aligned models and international agencies point to a daily maximum of 16–17°C in Wellington on September 4, driven by strong northwesterly advection of milder maritime air ahead of a front. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers—most likely in the morning—introduce uncertainty in surface heating and boundary-layer mixing, with clearing skies potentially allowing brief solar insolation to push readings toward 17–18°C while persistent low-level moisture could cap them near 16°C. Historical September maxima average near 14–15°C, but the current synoptic setup favors modestly above-normal warmth; traders appear to weight the upside potential from wind-driven mixing and model spread more heavily than downside risks from rain-cooled air.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 4. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 4. September?
18°C 48%
17°C 39%
16°C 8%
19°C 8%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
12°C oder weniger
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C
39%
18°C
48%
19°C
8%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
18°C 48%
17°C 39%
16°C 8%
19°C 8%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
12°C oder weniger
$237 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$405 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$439 Vol.
2%
16°C
$807 Vol.
8%
17°C
$399 Vol.
39%
18°C
$3,277 Vol.
48%
19°C
$660 Vol.
8%
20°C
$220 Vol.
2%
21°C
$123 Vol.
<1%
22°C oder höher
$299 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including MetService-aligned models and international agencies point to a daily maximum of 16–17°C in Wellington on September 4, driven by strong northwesterly advection of milder maritime air ahead of a front. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers—most likely in the morning—introduce uncertainty in surface heating and boundary-layer mixing, with clearing skies potentially allowing brief solar insolation to push readings toward 17–18°C while persistent low-level moisture could cap them near 16°C. Historical September maxima average near 14–15°C, but the current synoptic setup favors modestly above-normal warmth; traders appear to weight the upside potential from wind-driven mixing and model spread more heavily than downside risks from rain-cooled air.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$7,265Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including MetService-aligned models and international agencies point to a daily maximum of 16–17°C in Wellington on September 4, driven by strong northwesterly advection of milder maritime air ahead of a front. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers—most likely in the morning—introduce uncertainty in surface heating and boundary-layer mixing, with clearing skies potentially allowing brief solar insolation to push readings toward 17–18°C while persistent low-level moisture could cap them near 16°C. Historical September maxima average near 14–15°C, but the current synoptic setup favors modestly above-normal warmth; traders appear to weight the upside potential from wind-driven mixing and model spread more heavily than downside risks from rain-cooled air.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,265Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including MetService-aligned models and international agencies point to a daily maximum of 16–17°C in Wellington on September 4, driven by strong northwesterly advection of milder maritime air ahead of a front. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers—most likely in the morning—introduce uncertainty in surface heating and boundary-layer mixing, with clearing skies potentially allowing brief solar insolation to push readings toward 17–18°C while persistent low-level moisture could cap them near 16°C. Historical September maxima average near 14–15°C, but the current synoptic setup favors modestly above-normal warmth; traders appear to weight the upside potential from wind-driven mixing and model spread more heavily than downside risks from rain-cooled air.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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