Strong northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover are the main factors holding Wellington's minimum near 12–13 °C on 3 September, with official forecasts showing overnight lows of 10–13 °C amid gusts to 40–50 km/h that limit radiative cooling. Model runs differ mainly on the timing of wind easing and any brief shower activity after midnight, creating the tight 51 %–46 % market split between 13 °C and 12 °C. Cooler 8 °C-or-below outcomes remain possible only if winds slacken earlier than expected under clearer skies, but current observations and ensemble guidance favor the milder range given the persistent NW flow and spring baseline. Updated MetService and NHC-adjacent guidance through the evening will be the next key inputs for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 3. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 3. September?
8°C oder weniger 47%
12°C 46%
11°C 4%
10°C 3%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
8°C oder weniger
47%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
4%
12°C
46%
13°C
52%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
8°C oder weniger 47%
12°C 46%
11°C 4%
10°C 3%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
8°C oder weniger
$67 Vol.
47%
9°C
$67 Vol.
2%
10°C
$75 Vol.
3%
11°C
$56 Vol.
4%
12°C
$0 Vol.
46%
13°C
$35 Vol.
52%
14°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
18°C oder höher
$140 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover are the main factors holding Wellington's minimum near 12–13 °C on 3 September, with official forecasts showing overnight lows of 10–13 °C amid gusts to 40–50 km/h that limit radiative cooling. Model runs differ mainly on the timing of wind easing and any brief shower activity after midnight, creating the tight 51 %–46 % market split between 13 °C and 12 °C. Cooler 8 °C-or-below outcomes remain possible only if winds slacken earlier than expected under clearer skies, but current observations and ensemble guidance favor the milder range given the persistent NW flow and spring baseline. Updated MetService and NHC-adjacent guidance through the evening will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$991Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover are the main factors holding Wellington's minimum near 12–13 °C on 3 September, with official forecasts showing overnight lows of 10–13 °C amid gusts to 40–50 km/h that limit radiative cooling. Model runs differ mainly on the timing of wind easing and any brief shower activity after midnight, creating the tight 51 %–46 % market split between 13 °C and 12 °C. Cooler 8 °C-or-below outcomes remain possible only if winds slacken earlier than expected under clearer skies, but current observations and ensemble guidance favor the milder range given the persistent NW flow and spring baseline. Updated MetService and NHC-adjacent guidance through the evening will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$991Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Strong northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover are the main factors holding Wellington's minimum near 12–13 °C on 3 September, with official forecasts showing overnight lows of 10–13 °C amid gusts to 40–50 km/h that limit radiative cooling. Model runs differ mainly on the timing of wind easing and any brief shower activity after midnight, creating the tight 51 %–46 % market split between 13 °C and 12 °C. Cooler 8 °C-or-below outcomes remain possible only if winds slacken earlier than expected under clearer skies, but current observations and ensemble guidance favor the milder range given the persistent NW flow and spring baseline. Updated MetService and NHC-adjacent guidance through the evening will be the next key inputs for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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