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icon for Höchste Temperatur in London am 4. September?

Höchste Temperatur in London am 4. September?

icon for Höchste Temperatur in London am 4. September?

Höchste Temperatur in London am 4. September?

Sep. 2

Sep. 3

Sep. 4

Sep. 2

Sep. 3

Sep. 4

23°C 35%

22°C 33%

24°C 16%

21°C 15%

Polymarket
NEU

23°C 35%

22°C 33%

24°C 16%

21°C 15%

Polymarket
NEU

17°C oder niedriger

$0 Vol.

2%

18°C

$0 Vol.

1%

19°C

$0 Vol.

5%

20°C

$75 Vol.

4%

21°C

$83 Vol.

15%

22°C

$174 Vol.

33%

23°C

$209 Vol.

35%

24°C

$112 Vol.

16%

25°C

$0 Vol.

9%

26°C

$0 Vol.

5%

27°C oder höher

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show London’s maximum temperature on September 4, 2026, centered in the low-to-mid 20s °C, with trader consensus split between 22–23 °C amid lingering uncertainty from variable cloud, showers, and westerly flow.** Official guidance from the Met Office indicates a daytime high of 24 °C under mostly cloudy conditions with a 40 % rain chance and westerly winds around 15–16 mph, while ensemble and global models (GFS/ECMWF-derived) cluster nearer 20–22 °C. Thursday’s warmer, brighter spell (up to 26–27 °C) gives way to cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover on Friday, limiting surface heating despite the season’s still-long daylight. Wind direction and timing of any showers are key variables that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C; stronger or more persistent westerlies enhance cooling, while breaks in cloud allow brief warming. Historical September averages for London hover near 19–20 °C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal but remain far from late-summer peaks. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh model runs and observational updates from the Met Office will be the primary drivers of any further probability shifts in the closely matched 22–23 °C outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$653
Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show London’s maximum temperature on September 4, 2026, centered in the low-to-mid 20s °C, with trader consensus split between 22–23 °C amid lingering uncertainty from variable cloud, showers, and westerly flow.** Official guidance from the Met Office indicates a daytime high of 24 °C under mostly cloudy conditions with a 40 % rain chance and westerly winds around 15–16 mph, while ensemble and global models (GFS/ECMWF-derived) cluster nearer 20–22 °C. Thursday’s warmer, brighter spell (up to 26–27 °C) gives way to cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover on Friday, limiting surface heating despite the season’s still-long daylight. Wind direction and timing of any showers are key variables that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C; stronger or more persistent westerlies enhance cooling, while breaks in cloud allow brief warming. Historical September averages for London hover near 19–20 °C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal but remain far from late-summer peaks. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh model runs and observational updates from the Met Office will be the primary drivers of any further probability shifts in the closely matched 22–23 °C outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$653
Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Verwandte

icon for Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 3?

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 3?

43%
icon for Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in London am 4. September 17°C betragen?

Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in London am 4. September 17°C betragen?

42%
Ja
icon for Wird die Tiefsttemperatur in London am 3. September 19°C betragen?

Wird die Tiefsttemperatur in London am 3. September 19°C betragen?

48%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Höchste Temperatur in London am 4. September?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „23°C" mit 35%, gefolgt von „22°C" mit 33%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 35¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Höchste Temperatur in London am 4. September?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 2, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Höchste Temperatur in London am 4. September?" ist „23°C" mit 35%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „22°C" mit 33%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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