Current forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and others indicate overnight lows for London on September 4 around 13–15 °C under southwesterly flow, with daytime highs near 23 °C amid possible showers and breezy conditions. Ensemble models show mild nights due to cloud cover and Atlantic air masses, consistent with historical early-September averages near 12.5 °C but tempered by recent mild overnight readings (e.g., 19 °C minimum on September 2). Trader consensus, reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 17 °C and clustering around 16–18 °C, incorporates forecast uncertainty from model spread and potential for clearer skies or wind shifts that could lower readings. Upcoming updated model runs and official briefings will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 4. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 4. September?
17°C 43%
18°C 27%
16°C 26%
15°C 8%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
12°C oder darunter
5%
13°C
6%
14°C
6%
15°C
8%
16°C
26%
17°C
43%
18°C
27%
19°C
8%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C oder höher
2%
17°C 43%
18°C 27%
16°C 26%
15°C 8%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
12°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
5%
13°C
$0 Vol.
6%
14°C
$0 Vol.
6%
15°C
$0 Vol.
8%
16°C
$10 Vol.
26%
17°C
$147 Vol.
43%
18°C
$98 Vol.
27%
19°C
$50 Vol.
8%
20°C
$141 Vol.
2%
21°C
$75 Vol.
2%
22°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and others indicate overnight lows for London on September 4 around 13–15 °C under southwesterly flow, with daytime highs near 23 °C amid possible showers and breezy conditions. Ensemble models show mild nights due to cloud cover and Atlantic air masses, consistent with historical early-September averages near 12.5 °C but tempered by recent mild overnight readings (e.g., 19 °C minimum on September 2). Trader consensus, reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 17 °C and clustering around 16–18 °C, incorporates forecast uncertainty from model spread and potential for clearer skies or wind shifts that could lower readings. Upcoming updated model runs and official briefings will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$521Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and others indicate overnight lows for London on September 4 around 13–15 °C under southwesterly flow, with daytime highs near 23 °C amid possible showers and breezy conditions. Ensemble models show mild nights due to cloud cover and Atlantic air masses, consistent with historical early-September averages near 12.5 °C but tempered by recent mild overnight readings (e.g., 19 °C minimum on September 2). Trader consensus, reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 17 °C and clustering around 16–18 °C, incorporates forecast uncertainty from model spread and potential for clearer skies or wind shifts that could lower readings. Upcoming updated model runs and official briefings will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$521Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and others indicate overnight lows for London on September 4 around 13–15 °C under southwesterly flow, with daytime highs near 23 °C amid possible showers and breezy conditions. Ensemble models show mild nights due to cloud cover and Atlantic air masses, consistent with historical early-September averages near 12.5 °C but tempered by recent mild overnight readings (e.g., 19 °C minimum on September 2). Trader consensus, reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 17 °C and clustering around 16–18 °C, incorporates forecast uncertainty from model spread and potential for clearer skies or wind shifts that could lower readings. Upcoming updated model runs and official briefings will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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